Samsunspor - Trabzonspor prediction 10 October 2026
Samsunspor
TrabzonsporSamsunspor
Amed Sportif FaaliyetlerKasimpasaSamsunsporSamsunsporTrabzonsporErzurum BuyuksehirSamsunsporSamsunsporCorum BelediyesporKocaelisporSamsunsporSamsunsporFenerbahceCaykur RizesporSamsunsporSamsunsporGoztepeKasimpasaSamsunsporWesterloSamsunsporAEK AthensSamsunsporRAAL La LouviereSamsunsporUSL DunkerqueSamsunsporSamsunsporGoztepeCaykur RizesporTrabzonsporTrabzonsporHeart of Midlothian FCTrabzonsporBesiktasKuPSTrabzonsporSamsunsporTrabzonsporTrabzonsporDrogheda UnitedTrabzonsporGalatasarayKonyasporTrabzonsporTrabzonsporGenclerbirligiAmed Sportif FaaliyetlerTrabzonsporTrabzonsporIstanbul BasaksehirKasimpasaTrabzonsporGoztepeTrabzonsporUdineseTrabzonsporTrabzonsporAl Sadd DohaSamsunsporTrabzonsporSamsunsporTrabzonsporSamsunsporTrabzonsporTrabzonsporSamsunsporTrabzonsporSamsunsporSamsunsporTrabzonsporTrabzonsporSamsunsporTrabzonsporSamsunsporSamsunsporTrabzonsporTrabzonsporSamsunspor| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19:12 | +7 | 22 |
| 2 |  Amed Sportif Faaliyetler | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:8 | +14 | 19 |
| 4 |  Besiktas | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18:10 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Fenerbahce | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 23:8 | +15 | 16 |
| 6 |  Kasimpasa | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13:9 | +4 | 16 |
| 7 |  Kocaelispor | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11:9 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |  Erzurum Buyuksehir | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 14 |
| 9 |  Corum Belediyespor | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 13 |
| 10 |  Goztepe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19:16 | +3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Alanyaspor | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Istanbul Basaksehir | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 |  Caykur Rizespor | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 |  Konyaspor | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 |  Gaziantep FK | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 |  Genรงlerbirliฤi S.K. | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:18 | -11 | 8 |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8:21 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |  Eyupspor | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2:23 | -21 | 3 |
Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor Prediction (Oct 10)
Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor prediction for the Turkish Super League match on October 10, 2026. Based on our analysis, Trabzonspor has a 47% chance of winning, while Samsunspor has a 20% chance and the draw stands at 33%. The visitors are the bookmakers' favorite and carry the statistical edge.
Team Form
Samsunspor enters this fixture in poor shape, with a recent record of L, L, L, L, W. Their last five results (all competitions):
- Sep 20, 2026 โ Erzurum Buyuksehir 1-0 Samsunspor (away loss)
- Sep 12, 2026 โ Samsunspor 1-5 Corum Belediyespor (home loss)
- Sep 6, 2026 โ Kocaelispor 1-0 Samsunspor (away loss)
- Aug 30, 2026 โ Samsunspor 0-2 Fenerbahce (home loss)
- Aug 22, 2026 โ Caykur Rizespor 0-2 Samsunspor (away win)
At home, Samsunspor has suffered heavy defeats, conceding 7 goals in their last two home league games (5-1 and 2-0). Trabzonsporโs form reads L, W, L, W, L from their last five matches:
- Oct 1, 2026 โ Trabzonspor 0-1 Drogheda United (friendly loss)
- Sep 19, 2026 โ Trabzonspor 4-0 Galatasaray (home win)
- Sep 12, 2026 โ Konyaspor 1-0 Trabzonspor (away loss)
- Sep 6, 2026 โ Trabzonspor 5-0 Genclerbirligi (home win)
- Aug 31, 2026 โ Amed Sportif 2-1 Trabzonspor (away loss)
The visitors have been impressive at home, scoring 9 goals in two home Super League wins over Galatasaray and Genclerbirligi, but away form shows two consecutive league defeats.
Head-to-Head Record
The last five H2H meetings across all competitions:
- Apr 23, 2026 (Cup) โ Samsunspor 0-0 Trabzonspor
- Feb 7, 2026 (Super League) โ Samsunspor 0-3 Trabzonspor
- Aug 31, 2025 (Super League) โ Trabzonspor 1-1 Samsunspor
- May 25, 2025 (Super League) โ Trabzonspor 2-2 Samsunspor
- Jan 4, 2025 (Super League) โ Samsunspor 2-1 Trabzonspor
Overall, in 9 matches, Samsunspor has won 2, drawn 3, and Trabzonspor has won 4. The away side has dominated recent league clashes at this venue, winning 3-0 in February 2026.
League Table Positions
Trabzonspor sits 7th in the Super League standings with 10 points from 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 13 goals and conceding 5. Samsunspor is not present in the top 12 of the league table, indicating they are lower down the table with a weaker campaign so far.
Win Probability: Samsunspor or Trabzonspor?
We calculated the win probabilities by averaging the implied odds from six bookmakers, removing the margin, and then adjusting for form, H2H, and league position. The raw bookmaker data gave Samsunspor a 23.7% chance, the draw 36.8%, and Trabzonspor 39.5%. After factoring in Samsunspor's 4 losses in 5 games, Trabzonspor's top-half status, and their superior H2H away record, we adjust to: Samsunspor 20%, Draw 33%, Trabzonspor 47%. The total equals 100%.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakersโ 1X2 odds range from 3.25 to 3.94 for a Samsunspor home win, 2.28 to 2.38 for the draw, and 1.88 to 2.32 for a Trabzonspor away victory. The market sees Trabzonspor as the clear favorite. Based on the stats and probabilities, our prediction is that Trabzonspor is the most likely winner, but the draw cannot be ruled out given the history of draws between these sides.
Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor โ FAQ
- Who will win Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor?
- Based on our win probability calculation, Trabzonspor has a 47% chance of winning, Samsunspor a 20% chance, and the draw is at 33%. Therefore, Trabzonspor is the most likely winner, though a draw is also a strong possibility.
- What is the win probability for Trabzonspor?
- Trabzonsporโs win probability stands at 47%. This figure is derived from adjusted bookmaker odds, taking into account their 7th place in the Super League, Samsunsporโs poor recent form, and Trabzonsporโs historical away success in this fixture.
- When is the Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor match?
- The game will be played on October 10, 2026, at 14:00 local time (Turkey). It is a Turkish Super League fixture held at Samsun Stadium in Samsun.
- What are the odds for Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor?
- Prematch odds show a Samsunspor home win priced between 3.25 and 3.94, the draw around 2.28โ2.38, and a Trabzonspor away win at 1.88โ2.32. The bookmakers have Trabzonspor as the favorite.
- What is the head-to-head record between Trabzonspor and Samsunspor?
- In 9 total meetings, Samsunspor has won 2, drawn 3, and Trabzonspor has won 4. The most recent Super League clash ended 0-3 in favor of Trabzonspor at Samsun Stadium in February 2026.