Trelleborgs Women - IF Elfsborg Women prediction 3 October 2026

Trelleborgs Women vs IF Elfsborg Women prediction for the Elitettan Women clash on October 3, 2026, at 13:00 local time. According to our analysis, the away team IF Elfsborg Women holds a 45% win probability, while Trelleborgs Women have a 25% chance of victory, with a draw rated at 30%.

Team Form

Trelleborgs Women have collected two wins, two draws, and one defeat in their last five matches (W, W, D, D, L). The loss came in the Cup Women against Malmo FF (0–4), but their Elitettan Women form is strong with consecutive wins over Holmalunds IF Alingsas (1–0 away) and BK Hacken B (2–0 home), followed by draws against Sandvikens IF (0–0) and KIF Orebro DFF (2–2). At home, Trelleborgs Women have a solid 5-3-2 record this season, scoring 17 goals and conceding 15 in 10 home fixtures.

IF Elfsborg Women are in even better shape, unbeaten in their last five outings with three wins and two draws (D, W, W, D, W). They held IFK Goteborg to a 1–1 away draw, beat Sandvikens IF 1–0 at home, won 3–2 at Linkopings, drew 1–1 at Umea IK, and edged BK Hacken B 2–1. The team’s overall league record reads 13 wins, 6 draws, and just 1 loss from 20 games, and they boast the league’s best away record: 7 wins and 3 draws in 10 trips, with 22 goals scored and only 5 conceded.

Head-to-Head Record

In three previous meetings, Trelleborgs Women have never lost to IF Elfsborg Women. They won the only home fixture 3–1 on May 4, 2025, and earned two away draws – 0–0 on August 1, 2026, and 2–2 on August 30, 2025. The head-to-head tally stands at one Trelleborgs win and two stalemates. This H2H edge gives the hosts hope of extending their unbeaten run against the league leaders.

League Table Positions

IF Elfsborg Women sit at the top of the Elitettan Women standings with 45 points from 20 matches (13 wins, 6 draws, 1 loss), two points clear of second-placed KIF Orebro DFF. They have scored 37 goals and conceded only 10, showcasing the division’s best defence. Trelleborgs Women occupy sixth place with 32 points (9 wins, 5 draws, 6 losses) and a goal difference of +1 (28 scored, 27 conceded). The 13-point gap between the sides underlines Elfsborg’s superiority this season, but Trelleborgs’ home form and H2H resilience add a layer of uncertainty.

Win Probability: Trelleborgs Women or IF Elfsborg Women?

Our probability model, built on the available data (H2H results, league positions, current form, and home/away splits), delivers the following outcome chances:

• Trelleborgs Women win – 25%
• Draw – 30%
• IF Elfsborg Women win – 45%

IF Elfsborg Women’s 45% win probability is driven by their table-topping status, an unbeaten away record (70% win rate, 0 losses away), and a 5-match unbeaten streak. Trelleborgs Women’s 25% chance stems from their home advantage and an undefeated H2H record that includes a 3–1 home victory. The 30% draw probability is above the typical league average because two of the three previous meetings ended all square and both sides have shown a tendency to share points in recent weeks (Trelleborgs’ two draws, Elfsborg’s two draws in their last five). Overall, the visitors are the more likely winners, but the match could easily end in a draw.

Odds & Match Prediction

No specific betting odds were provided in the match data for this fixture; the only market referenced is "1X2". If you are looking for up-to-date odds, visit your preferred sportsbook. Based on the statistical analysis, IF Elfsborg Women should be priced as favourites, while a double-chance bet on the hosts (win or draw) might offer value given their H2H record. Our prediction: while an away win is the single most probable result, the smart betting angle could be a draw no bet on IF Elfsborg or backing the under 2.5 goals if the odds align, considering Elfsborg’s strong defence away (just 5 goals conceded in 10 away matches).