Treviso - Dolomiti Bellunesi prediction 24 October 2026

The Treviso vs Dolomiti Bellunesi prediction for this Serie C fixture on October 24, 2026, points towards a home advantage. Kick-off is at 13:30 at Treviso's ground. Based on the available data, we calculate that Treviso has a 47% chance of winning, the draw is at 36%, and Dolomiti Bellunesi has a 17% probability of taking all three points.

Team Form

Treviso comes into this match with a mixed but resilient run, recording two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches (W, L, D, W, D). Their most recent outing was an impressive 2-0 away victory against Folgore Caratese. At home, however, they have struggled for goals, failing to score in their last two matches at their own stadium, a 0-1 loss to ACD Ospitaletto and a 0-0 draw with Giana Erminio.

Dolomiti Bellunesi is enduring a difficult spell of form, with their last five results reading L, L, L, D, L. The visitors have lost four of their last five, including a heavy 0-3 home defeat to Trento Calcio 1921 in their most recent fixture. Defensively, they have been fragile, conceding in each of these last five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last five meetings between the two sides, Dolomiti Bellunesi has had the upper hand historically, winning three times to Treviso's single victory, with one match ending in a draw. The most recent clash, played in the Coppa Serie C on August 16, 2026, saw Dolomiti Bellunesi secure a 1-0 home win. However, the last time Treviso hosted Dolomiti Bellunesi, on December 8, 2024, the home side won 2-1.

League Table Positions

Treviso occupies 6th place in the Serie C standings with 16 points from 10 matches, having scored 10 and conceded 7 goals. Dolomiti Bellunesi is far down the table, outside the top 12, struggling for consistency this season. The points gap and home advantage clearly favor Treviso here, especially with the hosts being within touching distance of the playoff spots.

Win Probability: Treviso or Dolomiti Bellunesi?

We have rigorously calculated the win probabilities, anchoring our model on the available bookmaker odds and adjusting for recent form and head-to-head records. The probability of a Treviso win is 47%, a draw is rated at 36%, and a Dolomiti Bellunesi victory has a 17% chance. These percentages strongly indicate that the most likely outcome is a home win, but a draw should not be ruled out given Treviso's recent home scoring troubles and the visitors' desperate need for points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a contest tilted towards the hosts. The best available odds currently show a Treviso win at 2.35, a draw at 2.15, and a Dolomiti Bellunesi away win at 4.25. Reflecting the probability data, the odds suggest that the bookmakers are accounting for the strong possibility of a low-scoring match. The prediction based on all facts is that Treviso is the favorite, but a tight, potentially drawn encounter looks a very real based-on-form prospect.