Tromso 2 - Kongsvinger II prediction 21 September 2026

Tromso 2 vs Kongsvinger II prediction: on September 21, 2026, at 12:30, the Norway 3rd Division hosts a clash between Tromso 2 and Kongsvinger II. The hosts are slight favorites with a 45% win probability based on odds and recent form, but the visitors cannot be ruled out.

Team Form

Tromso 2 have managed just one win in their last five outings (1W, 1D, 3L). They lost 2-3 to Skjetten on September 14, followed by a 0-1 home defeat against Harstad on September 6, and a 1-3 away loss at Skedsmo on August 30. A 3-3 draw at Bossekop on August 17 and a 2-0 win at Stromsgodset 2 on August 2 complete their recent sequence.

Kongsvinger II also show inconsistent form with two wins and three losses in their past five. They suffered a heavy 1-5 home loss to Floya on September 13, then fell 1-3 away to Skjervoy on September 6. Positive results include a 2-1 home win over Ulfstind on August 30 and a thrilling 5-4 away win at Lillestrom II on August 3, but a 2-3 home loss to Stromsgodset 2 on August 10 underscores their defensive frailties.

Head-to-Head Record

The teams have met once before in the 3rd Division. Kongsvinger II came out on top, beating Tromso 2 2-1 on May 22, 2026. That sole encounter gives the visitors a slight psychological edge, though the sample size is minimal.

League Table Positions

Neither Tromso 2 nor Kongsvinger II feature in the top 12 of the league standings provided. This indicates both sides are situated in the lower half of the table, making this a mid-to-lower-table contest where consistency has been hard to find.

Win Probability: Tromso 2 or Kongsvinger II?

Our calculation starts from the average normalized implied odds across four bookmakers (home win 46%, draw 28%, away win 26%). After adjusting for head-to-head history (Kongsvinger II’s win) and the mixed recent form of both teams, the final probabilities are: Tromso 2 win 45%, draw 28%, Kongsvinger II win 27%.

Tromso 2 hold home advantage and have a slightly higher chance, but the match remains open. The 45% chance for a home victory reflects that bookmakers see Tromso 2 as favorites, but not overwhelmingly so.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ 1X2 odds vary: home win odds range from 1.65 to 2.10, the draw sits between 2.90 and 4.30, and an away win for Kongsvinger II is offered from 3.30 to 3.45. These odds confirm Tromso 2 as the market favorite.

Based on the stats, the Tromso 2 vs Kongsvinger II prediction favors a home win, but the draw possibility is notable at 28%. A low-scoring affair could be on the cards given both teams’ recent defensive issues, but betting tips will likely point to Tromso 2 with caution.