Tromso - Ham-Kam prediction 20 September 2026
Tromso
Ham-Kam
VikingTromsoTromsoKFUM OsloFredrikstadTromsoTromsoHam-KamAltaTromsoRosenborgTromsoKristiansundTromsoTromsoSarpsborg 08BrightonTromsoTromsoBrightonMoldeTromsoTromsoCFR ClujCFR ClujTromsoAalesundTromsoHam-KamTromsoHam-KamRosenborgHam-KamBodo/GlimtIK StartHam-KamTromsoHam-KamKjelsasHam-KamHam-KamMoldeRosenborgHam-KamHam-KamKristiansundBrannHam-KamHam-KamAalesundValerengaHam-KamSarpsborg 08Ham-KamBodo/GlimtHam-KamHam-KamTromsoSandefjordHam-KamTromsoHam-KamHam-KamTromsoTromsoHam-KamHam-KamTromsoTromsoHam-KamTromsoHam-KamTromsoHam-KamTromsoHam-KamHam-KamTromsoTromsoHam-KamHam-KamTromsoHam-KamTromsoTromsoHam-KamTromsoHam-KamHam-KamTromso| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 24 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 62:23 | +39 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodo/Glimt | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 58:21 | +37 | 56 |
| 3 |  Molde | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 57:36 | +21 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 46:31 | +15 | 40 |
| 5 | Tromso | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 43:34 | +9 | 40 |
| 6 |  Lillestrom | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 35:33 | +2 | 39 |
| 7 |  Sarpsborg 08 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 30:35 | -5 | 31 |
| 8 |  KFUM Oslo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 30:39 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 |  Brann | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 42:40 | +2 | 29 |
| 10 |  Valerenga | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 39:46 | -7 | 29 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 29:41 | -12 | 29 |
| 12 | Ham-Kam | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 33:51 | -18 | 26 |
| 13 |  Sandefjord | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 22:31 | -9 | 24 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 40:53 | -13 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 25:49 | -24 | 20 |
| 16 |  IK Start | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 26:54 | -28 | 19 |
Tromso vs Ham-Kam Prediction (Jul 18, 2026)
The Tromso vs Ham-Kam prediction for July 18, 2026, points to a home victory in this Eliteserien clash. Based on league standings, recent form, and head-to-head dominance, Tromso enters the match as the favorite with a 45% win probability, while Ham-Kam struggles away from home.
Team Form
Tromso's last five matches show a mixed but strong home trend: a 4-0 win over Valerenga, a 4-1 friendly victory against Orgryte, a 0-0 draw at KFUM Oslo, a 1-1 home draw with Aalesund, and a 0-5 loss at Bodo/Glimt. The two recent home wins underline their attacking power at Briskeby Arena.
Ham-Kam's form is unbeaten in five outings: a 2-2 draw at Sandefjord, a 2-1 friendly win at IFK Goteborg, a 1-1 friendly draw at Fredrikstad, a 2-2 draw at Aalesund, and a 2-0 home win over Lillestrom. However, three of those results were away draws, highlighting a tendency to share points on the road.
Head-to-Head Record
The overall H2H record heavily favors Tromso: 10 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 win for Ham-Kam. In the last five meetings across all competitions, Tromso won three (1-0, 3-1, 2-0), drew one (3-3), and lost one friendly (0-1). The most recent league encounter on Sep 21, 2025, ended 1-0 to Tromso.
League Table Positions
Tromso sits 1st in the Eliteserien with 28 points from 14 matches (8 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses). At home, they are also 1st with 20 points from 9 games (6 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss). Ham-Kam is 6th overall with 18 points from 11 games (5 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses). Their away form is a clear weakness: only 3 points from 5 away matches (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses), which significantly reduces their chances.
Win Probability: Tromso or Ham-Kam?
After normalizing bookmaker odds and adjusting for form, home advantage, and H2H, the win probabilities are: Tromso 45%, draw 30%, Ham-Kam 25%. The initial odds implied a draw as the most likely outcome, but Tromso's dominant home record (67% win rate) and Ham-Kam's inability to win away (0 wins in 5) shift the balance clearly toward the home side. Tromso is the more probable winner.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers offer average odds around 3.40 for a Tromso win, 2.15 for the draw, and 2.60 for a Ham-Kam away victory. These odds reflect a tight contest, with the draw priced as the single most likely result. However, our analysis, factoring in the 10-point gap in the table and Tromso's perfect recent home scoring form, leads to a prediction of a Tromso win. A draw remains a realistic outcome given Ham-Kam's resilience, but the value lies with the home side.
Tromso vs Ham-Kam โ FAQ
- Who will win Tromso vs Ham-Kam?
- Tromso is the most likely winner with a 45% probability. The draw has a 30% chance, and Ham-Kam a 25% chance. Tromso's strong home form and head-to-head dominance give them the edge.
- What is the win probability for Tromso?
- Tromso has a 45% chance to win. This is based on their 1st-place league position, 6 home wins in 9 matches, and Ham-Kam's poor away record of zero wins in 5 attempts.
- When is the Tromso vs Ham-Kam match?
- The match takes place on July 18, 2026, at 12:00 UTC. It is an Eliteserien fixture and will be played at Briskeby Arena in Oslo.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Typical 1X2 odds are: Tromso win around 3.40, draw around 2.15, and Ham-Kam win around 2.60. These odds indicate a tight match with the draw as the bookmakers' favorite single outcome.
- What is the head-to-head record between Tromso and Ham-Kam?
- Tromso has won 10 of the 13 all-time meetings, with 2 draws and only 1 Ham-Kam victory. In the last five encounters, Tromso won three, drew one, and lost one friendly.