SSD Solbiatese Calcio 1911 - Tropical Coriano prediction 21 October 2026

Our SSD Solbiatese Calcio 1911 vs Tropical Coriano prediction for this Serie D match on Oct 21 at 14:00 kicks off with the home side as the favorite. Based on the data, SSD Solbiatese Calcio 1911 has a 47% chance of winning, the draw is at 32%, and Tropical Coriano has a 21% chance.

Team Form

SSD Solbiatese Calcio 1911 come into this fixture hard to beat, with four draws in their last five matches. Their recent results show a 2-2 home draw against Lentigione on Oct 17, a 1-1 away draw at Pro Sesto on Oct 11, a 1-0 away win against Pro Patria on Sep 27, a 0-0 away draw at Pavia on Sep 16, and a 0-0 home stalemate with USD Casatese on Sep 12. The home side has drawn eight of their last ten in all competitions.

Tropical Coriano's recent form is more inconsistent, with two wins, one draw, and two defeats in their last five. Their most recent outing was a 2-0 away loss at Sant'Angelo 1907 on Oct 18. Before that, they lost 1-2 at home to Pontedera on Oct 14, drew 0-0 at home with Crema 1908 on Oct 11, won 1-0 away at OltrepoVoghera on Sep 20, and lost 1-2 at home to Lentigione on Sep 16.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no historical head-to-head data available for SSD Solbiatese Calcio 1911 and Tropical Coriano, suggesting this is a rare or first-time competitive meeting between the two sides.

League Table Positions

Neither SSD Solbiatese Calcio 1911 nor Tropical Coriano appear in the top 12 of the available Serie D overall standings. The available table is led by Alessandria with 18 points from 7 games. In the home standings, Alessandria and ASD Millesimo Calcio top the chart with perfect records, while in the away standings, Ligorna lead with 9 points from 4 matches. With both teams missing from the provided table, a direct points comparison is not possible, but their absence suggests they are positioned in the lower half of the league.

Win Probability: SSD Solbiatese Calcio 1911 or Tropical Coriano?

We calculate SSD Solbiatese Calcio 1911 has a 47% chance of winning, the draw is at 32%, and Tropical Coriano has a 21% chance. This probability model starts with the inverse of the best available odds (home 2.12, draw 1.95, away 3.20) and normalizes them to remove the bookmaker margin, setting a baseline. We then adjust for SSD Solbiatese Calcio 1911's solid form—undefeated in five with multiple clean sheets—giving them a boost for consistency and home advantage. Tropical Coriano's two losses in their last three, combined with no historical edge, reduces their win likelihood. The draw is maintained as a strong possibility given the home team's four stalemates in five games. All factors point to the home side being the more likely winner, but the draw is a real threat.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a tight contest. The available odds are: home win at 2.90, 2.80, 2.12, and 2.05; a draw at 1.95, 2.00, 2.95, and 3.10; and an away win at 3.60, 3.60, 3.20, and 3.30. The fluctuation in prices, especially the draw as low as 1.95 and as high as 3.10, indicates some disagreement in the market. Based on the stats, the safest betting tip is to back SSD Solbiatese Calcio 1911 to avoid defeat, with the home win being the most probable single outcome at 47%.