Tsirang - Thimphu FC prediction 16 September 2026

Our Tsirang vs Thimphu FC prediction for the Thimphu League match on Sep 16 at 09:00 is an away victory. Thimphu FC are the clear favorites with a 45% win probability, while Tsirang have a 25% chance and the draw sits at 30%. This forecast is based on the latest odds, team form, and league standings.

Team Form

Tsirang's recent form is alarming. In their last five matches, they have lost four and drawn one. The run started with a 7-0 thrashing at Paro FC on Aug 26. They then managed a 1-1 home draw against Thimphu City FC on Aug 7, but followed that with three straight home defeats: 0-2 to Transport United (Jul 26), 2-3 to Drukpa FC (Jul 21), and 0-2 to Paro FC (Jun 29). Over these five games, Tsirang scored just 3 goals and conceded 15.

Thimphu FC, by contrast, have been more consistent. They won three in a row: 2-1 at home to Drukpa FC (Sep 11), 3-0 at home to Transport United (Aug 15), and a 2-1 away win at RTC Royal Thimphu College (Aug 4). However, they then lost two tough away games: 0-2 at Paro FC (Jul 28) and 0-2 at Thimphu City FC (Jul 19). Their attack has been effective, scoring 7 goals in the last five, but they have kept only one clean sheet.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once before, on Jun 22, 2026, in the Thimphu League. That match ended in a 0-0 draw. So the head-to-head record is perfectly balanced with no wins for either side.

League Table Positions

In the Thimphu League, Thimphu FC sit 4th with 22 points from 14 matches (7 wins, 1 draw, 6 losses, 17 goals scored, 20 conceded). Tsirang are 8th with 16 points from 15 games (4 wins, 4 draws, 7 losses, 25 goals scored, 34 conceded). At home, Tsirang have managed just 1 win, 3 draws, and 4 losses, scoring 16 and conceding 20. Thimphu FC's away record is 4 wins and 3 losses, with 9 goals for and 9 against. The visitors clearly have the edge.

Win Probability: Tsirang or Thimphu FC?

After analyzing the odds and adjusting for form and table positions, we assign the following probabilities: Tsirang win 25%, draw 30%, Thimphu FC win 45%. The bookmakers' average odds implied a Thimphu FC win chance of around 39%, but their superior recent results and higher league standing increase that likelihood. Tsirang's poor home form further reduces their chances. Therefore, Thimphu FC are the more probable winners.

Odds & Match Prediction

The average betting odds for this fixture are 3.06 for a Tsirang home win, 2.87 for the draw, and 2.29 for a Thimphu FC away victory. Bookmakers clearly favor the away side. Our Tsirang vs Thimphu FC prediction aligns with that: Thimphu FC to win. However, the draw cannot be ruled out given the only previous H2H ended goalless.