TSV Buchbach - Augsburg II prediction 13 October 2026

The TSV Buchbach vs Augsburg II prediction for this Regionalliga clash on October 13, 2026, at 18:00 points towards a home advantage. Based on the latest odds and recent form, TSV Buchbach enters the match as the favorite with a calculated win probability of 52%. Augsburg II faces an uphill battle, given their inconsistent away performances.

Team Form

TSV Buchbach's recent form shows a mixed bag of results. In their last five matches, they have recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss (W, W, D, L, D). Their most recent outing was a 1-1 draw away at DJK Vilzing on Oct 10. Prior to that, they suffered a 0-2 home defeat to SC Eltersdorf but showed resilience with a 2-2 draw at Unterhaching. Notably, they secured back-to-back home wins against Bayern Munich II (2-0) and Bayreuth (2-1) in late August and early September.

Augsburg II's form is less convincing. Their last five matches show two wins, one draw, and two losses (W, L, D, L, W). They are coming off a strong 3-0 home win against Aubstadt on Sep 26, but their away form is a major concern. They suffered a heavy 5-2 defeat at Wacker Burghausen and managed a 0-0 draw at Bayern Munich II. The team has struggled for consistency on the road, which could be a decisive factor here.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between TSV Buchbach and Augsburg II is perfectly balanced over 26 meetings, with 10 wins each and 6 draws. However, recent encounters have been high-scoring and unpredictable. In their last match on Apr 24, 2026, Augsburg II thrashed TSV Buchbach 4-0 away from home. Before that, TSV Buchbach won 3-0 at Augsburg II in October 2025. The fixture on May 2, 2025, saw TSV Buchbach win 5-2 at home, while Augsburg II won 4-3 at home in October 2024. The history suggests goals are almost guaranteed, but picking a winner is tricky.

League Table Positions

While the JSON data does not provide a full league table with points and positions, the form guide and head-to-head record indicate that both teams are competitive in the Regionalliga. TSV Buchbach's ability to win at home against strong sides like Bayern Munich II suggests they are solid on their own turf. Augsburg II's away defeats, particularly the 5-2 loss at Wacker Burghausen, highlight defensive vulnerabilities that could be exploited.

Win Probability: TSV Buchbach or Augsburg II?

Based on the available odds, team form, head-to-head record, and the home advantage, we have calculated the win probabilities for this match. TSV Buchbach has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 27%, and Augsburg II has a 21% chance. The calculation uses the inverse of the best available odds (1.73 for a home win, 2.58 for a draw, 3.65 for an away win) as a base, normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and then adjusted for TSV Buchbach's stronger recent home form and Augsburg II's poor away results. The home side is clearly the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see TSV Buchbach as the favorite for this fixture. The best available odds in the pre-match market are 1.73 for a home win, 2.62 for a draw, and 3.80 for an Augsburg II victory. These odds reflect the home team's perceived superiority. Based on the stats, a home win is the most probable outcome. Augsburg II's recent 3-0 win shows they have quality, but their travel sickness makes them a risky bet. The prediction is a victory for TSV Buchbach, likely in a match that features goals given the history between these two sides.