TSV Buchbach - SC Eltersdorf prediction 2 October 2026

In this TSV Buchbach vs SC Eltersdorf prediction for their Regionalliga clash on Oct 2, 2026, TSV Buchbach enter as the clear favorite with a 70% win probability. The match kicks off at 18:00 and sees the home side backed by strong form and bookmaker odds.

Team Form

TSV Buchbach are in excellent shape, unbeaten in their last five matches (W4 D1). Their most recent result was a 2-2 draw at Unterhaching on Sep 29, 2026, ending a streak of four consecutive wins. That run included a 2-0 home victory over Bayern Munich II on Sep 11, a 2-1 home win against Bayreuth on Aug 29, a 1-0 away win at VfB Eichstatt, and a 6-3 home thrashing of Viktoria Aschaffenburg on May 8. At home, they have been particularly dominant, scoring multiple goals in each of those fixtures.

SC Eltersdorf’s form has been more inconsistent (L2 W2 D1 in their last five). They lost 2-4 at home to Bayreuth on Sep 25 in the league and suffered a 3-0 friendly defeat to Greuther Furth on Jul 8. However, they did manage a 3-1 home win against Grosschwarzenlohe (Oberliga) and a 1-1 draw away to Eintracht Bamberg, plus a 3-2 home win over Ingolstadt II in April. Their away performances have been mixed, with the draw at Bamberg and losses in the friendly and recent league game.

Head-to-Head Record

The two sides have met twice in recent years. TSV Buchbach have yet to record a win (0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Their home fixture on Mar 25, 2022 ended 1-1, while SC Eltersdorf won 4-2 at home on Aug 31, 201. So the visitors hold a slight historical edge, although Buchbach will hope home advantage proves decisive this time.

League Table Positions

No league table data is available for this match at the moment.

Win Probability: TSV Buchbach or SC Eltersdorf?

We calculate TSV Buchbach have a 70% chance of winning, a draw is at 17% , and SC Eltersdorf have a 13% probability. These figures are derived from the inverse of the current odds (1.32,4.95,6.80) normalised to remove the bookmaker margin, then adjusted slightly for Buchbach’s superior form and home advantage. Even though the head-to-head record favours the visitors, the odds and recent performances make the home side the clear likely winner.

TSV Buchbach vs SC Eltersdorf Prediction

The bookmakers see TSV Buchbach as heavy favourites, offering odds of 1.32 for a home win. The draw is priced at 4.95, and an away win for SC Eltersdorf at 6.80 . Based on the stats —including Buchbach’s four wins in their last five and a strong home record — we expect a home victory. Therefore, the TSV Buchbach vs SC Eltersdorf prediction is home win, with the 1.32 odds reflecting that probability.