VfL Wolfsburg - TSV Havelse prediction 1 October 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs TSV Havelse prediction for the Friendly Clubs match on October 1, 2026, at 15:00. VfL Wolfsburg are overwhelming favorites with a 70% win probability, while TSV Havelse face an uphill battle. Read on for team form, head-to-head stats, win probabilities, and the latest odds.

Team Form

VfL Wolfsburg come into this friendly with mixed but positive form. In their last five matches across all competitions, they have recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss (W,L,D,W,D). Their most recent outing was a dominant 5-1 home victory over SV Darmstadt 98 in Bundesliga 2 on September 18. Prior to that, they suffered a narrow 0-1 defeat at FC St. Pauli, drew 4-4 with Energie Cottbus, thrashed Karlsruher SC 5-2 away, and drew 2-2 at Altglienicke in the DFB Pokal. Wolfsburg have scored 16 goals in these five games, averaging over three goals per match, but have also conceded 10, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

TSV Havelse, playing in the 3rd Liga, are struggling for form. Their last five results read L,D,L,D,L, with no wins. They lost 1-3 at home to Fortuna Koln on September 25, drew 0-0 with the same opponent a week earlier, lost 1-2 at MSV Duisburg, drew 2-2 with SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, and lost 1-2 at Preussen Munster. Havelse have managed just 5 goals in this period while conceding 9. The team is finding it difficult to secure positive results, especially away from home.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head record between VfL Wolfsburg and TSV Havelse. This friendly match marks the first ever meeting between the two clubs. As a result, there are no historical trends to analyze, and the prediction relies solely on current form and odds.

Win Probability: VfL Wolfsburg or TSV Havelse?

After analyzing the available data, the win probabilities for this match are as follows: VfL Wolfsburg have a 70% chance of winning, the draw stands at 20%, and TSV Havelse have a 10% chance. These percentages are derived from the bookmaker odds (home 1.20, draw 3.00, away 8.00), adjusted for the teams' recent form and the division gap. Wolfsburg's superior league level (Bundesliga 2 vs 3rd Liga) and home advantage heavily tilt the balance in their favor. Havelse's poor away form further reduces their likelihood of causing an upset.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced VfL Wolfsburg as clear favorites. The best available odds for a home win are as low as 1.15, with some books offering 1.20. The draw is around 3.00, and an away win for TSV Havelse is as high as 8.00. These odds reflect the gulf in class between the two sides. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a comfortable victory for VfL Wolfsburg. A betting tip for this match would be a home win, possibly with a -1.5 Asian handicap given Wolfsburg's attacking output. However, as a friendly, team motivation could be a factor, so caution is advised.