Prime Bangkok - TTM Lopburi FC prediction 3 October 2026

The Prime Bangkok vs TTM Lopburi FC prediction for the Division 3 match on October 3, 2026, at 09:30, points to a home win. Prime Bangkok enters as the strong favorite with a 60% chance of victory, while TTM Lopburi FC faces an uphill battle with just a 15% win probability.

Team Form

Prime Bangkok's recent form shows three wins followed by two losses. They beat Chiangmai FC 5-1 away, North Bangkok University FC 3-0 at home, and Uttaradit FC 2-1 at home, before falling 1-2 to Terengganu in a friendly and 0-2 away to Kasem Bundit University. It's worth noting that the two defeats came away from home or in a non-league fixture, while their home performances in Division 3 have been dominant, with 11 goals scored in the last five outings.

TTM Lopburi FC is in poor form, with no wins in their last five matches (two draws, three defeats). They drew 2-2 with Saraburi and 1-1 with Chainat FC, but suffered heavy losses: 1-7 to Korat City, 0-1 to Kasem Bundit University, and 2-7 to Welfare Royal Thai Air Force. Defensively, they have conceded 18 goals in these five games, highlighting serious vulnerabilities at the back.

Head-to-Head Record

Prime Bangkok and TTM Lopburi FC have met five times, with Prime Bangkok winning three and TTM Lopburi FC winning two. There have been no draws. The most recent encounter on February 22, 2026, saw Prime Bangkok thrash TTM Lopburi FC 6-0 at home. Prime Bangkok has won the last two meetings, including a 1-0 away win in November 2025. The head-to-head record clearly favors the home side.

Win Probability: Prime Bangkok vs TTM Lopburi FC Prediction

Based on the available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Prime Bangkok 60%, draw 25%, TTM Lopburi FC 15%. These percentages are derived from the bookmakers' odds (home 1.45, draw 2.50, away 5.25), which imply a 53.9% home win chance, adjusted upward due to Prime Bangkok's superior form and dominant head-to-head record. TTM Lopburi FC's recent defensive struggles further reduce their chances. Therefore, Prime Bangkok is the clear favorite to win this match.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced Prime Bangkok as short as 1.45 to win, with the draw at 2.50 and an away win at 5.25. These odds reflect the gulf in class between the two sides. Our prediction: Prime Bangkok to win, likely with a clean sheet. Given TTM Lopburi FC's leaky defense, a bet on over 2.5 total goals could also be worth considering, though the primary recommendation is a home victory.