Tukums 2000 - Grobinas SC prediction 20 September 2026

This Tukums 2000 vs Grobinas SC prediction previews the Virsliga match on Sep 20, 2026 at 13:00. Our analysis gives the home side a 40% chance of winning, with the draw at 30% and Grobinas SC at 30%. Tukums 2000 are slight favorites, but both teams are in poor form near the bottom of the Latvian top flight.

Team Form

Tukums 2000 have won just one of their last five matches (W1, L4), conceding 11 goals in that period. Their solitary victory came against 10th-placed Ogre United. Recent results:

• Sep 10: FK Progress Super Nova 1-0 Tukums 2000 (L)
• Sep 05: Tukums 2000 2-1 Ogre United (W)
• Aug 29: Tukums 2000 1-4 Jelgava (L)
• Aug 21: Auda 3-0 Tukums 2000 (L)
• Aug 08: BFC Daugavpils 2-0 Tukums 2000 (L)

Grobinas SC have also managed only one win in their last five outings (W1, D1, L3), scoring just 3 goals in their last five away matches. Their recent form:

• Sep 12: Grobinas SC 0-0 Jelgava (D)
• Sep 06: Auda 1-0 Grobinas SC (L)
• Aug 29: Grobinas SC 1-0 BFC Daugavpils (W)
• Aug 21: Liepajas Metalurgs 3-1 Grobinas SC (L)
• Aug 10: Rigas Futbola Skola 6-1 Grobinas SC (L)

Head-to-Head Record

In 15 previous meetings, Tukums 2000 have won 7, Grobinas SC 6, with 2 draws. The last five encounters show a tight contest, with both teams winning twice and one draw:

• Jul 05, 2026: Grobinas SC 3-1 Tukums 2000
• May 15, 2026: Grobinas SC 3-3 Tukums 2000
• Apr 05, 2026: Tukums 2000 1-1 Grobinas SC
• Oct 04, 2025: Grobinas SC 1-0 Tukums 2000
• Jul 21, 2025: Tukums 2000 2-1 Grobinas SC

League Table Positions

In the Virsliga overall standings, Grobinas SC sit 8th with 25 points (5W, 10D, 15L, GF20, GA51), while Tukums 2000 are 9th with 23 points (5W, 8D, 17L, GF43, GA60). Tukums 2000 have scored 43 goals but conceded 60, highlighting defensive issues. Grobinas SC have the league's lowest goal tally with just 20 goals in 30 matches. At home, Tukums 2000 rank 6th with 19 points from 15 games (5W, 4D, 6L, GF27, GA23). Grobinas SC are 8th in the away table with just 10 points from 15 away matches (2W, 4D, 9L, GF8, GA32). The home advantage is clear: Tukums 2000 have been much stronger at their own ground, while Grobinas SC struggle on the road.

Win Probability: Tukums 2000 or Grobinas SC?

Based on the available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Tukums 2000 win – 40%, draw – 30%, Grobinas SC win – 30%. The home side gets the edge due to their stronger home record (33% win rate at home vs. Grobinas' 13% away win rate) and a slightly better head-to-head record overall. Tukums 2000 drew 1-1 at home to Grobinas SC earlier this season, and their overall home form gives them a narrow advantage. However, both teams are in poor form, which increases the likelihood of a draw. The match is expected to be close, but Tukums 2000 have a higher chance of securing all three points.

Tukums 2000 vs Grobinas SC Prediction & Odds

Bookmakers' odds are not available for this fixture. Our prediction is based solely on statistical analysis. Tukums 2000 are the most likely winners with a 40% probability, but the draw and an away win are equally possible at 30% each. We predict a narrow home victory, but caution is advised given the inconsistent form of both sides.