El Paso Locomotive - Tulsa Roughnecks prediction 26 September 2026
El Paso Locomotive
Tulsa RoughnecksEl Paso Locomotive
New Mexico UnitedEl Paso LocomotiveSacramento RepublicEl Paso LocomotiveOrange County Blue StarLexington SCEl Paso LocomotiveEl Paso LocomotiveTulsa RoughnecksPhoenix RisingEl Paso LocomotiveLouisville CardinalsEl Paso LocomotiveEl Paso LocomotiveLoudoun UnitedEl Paso LocomotivePittsburgh RiverhoundsColorado Springs SwitchbacksEl Paso LocomotiveSan Antonio FCEl Paso LocomotiveEl Paso LocomotiveOakland RootsEl Paso LocomotiveMonterey BayOrange County Blue StarEl Paso LocomotiveEl Paso LocomotiveSporting JaxColorado Springs SwitchbacksTulsa RoughnecksTulsa RoughnecksOakland RootsLexington SCTulsa RoughnecksTulsa RoughnecksSacramento RepublicTulsa RoughnecksNew Mexico UnitedEl Paso LocomotiveTulsa RoughnecksBrooklyn FCTulsa RoughnecksPhoenix RisingTulsa RoughnecksSan Antonio FCTulsa RoughnecksTulsa RoughnecksRhode Island FCOrange County Blue StarTulsa RoughnecksNew Mexico UnitedTulsa RoughnecksTulsa RoughnecksDetroit CityTulsa RoughnecksSacramento RepublicPittsburgh RiverhoundsTulsa RoughnecksEl Paso LocomotiveTulsa RoughnecksTulsa RoughnecksEl Paso LocomotiveEl Paso LocomotiveTulsa RoughnecksEl Paso LocomotiveTulsa RoughnecksTulsa RoughnecksEl Paso Locomotive| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tampa Bay Rowdies | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 52:26 | +26 | 61 |
| 2 |  Charleston Battery | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 56:35 | +21 | 53 |
| 3 |  New Mexico United | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 45:34 | +11 | 52 |
| 4 |  Sacramento Republic | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 42:28 | +14 | 51 |
| 5 |  Detroit City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 34:21 | +13 | 51 |
| 6 | El Paso Locomotive | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 48:38 | +10 | 50 |
| 7 |  Lexington SC | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 57:39 | +18 | 48 |
| 8 |  Louisville Cardinals | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 51:43 | +8 | 47 |
| 9 |  Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 44:38 | +6 | 47 |
| 10 |  Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 33:30 | +3 | 45 |
| 11 |  San Antonio FC | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 32:30 | +2 | 45 |
| 12 |  Hartford Athletic | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 35:33 | +2 | 43 |
| 13 | Tulsa Roughnecks | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 34:31 | +3 | 43 |
| 14 |  Rhode Island FC | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42:33 | +9 | 42 |
| 15 |  Phoenix Rising | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45:46 | -1 | 40 |
| 16 |  Orange County Blue Star | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 39:49 | -10 | 39 |
| 17 |  Oakland Roots | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 39:40 | -1 | 38 |
| 18 |  Miami FC | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 39:49 | -10 | 36 |
| 19 |  Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 36 |
| 20 |  Indy Eleven | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 35:41 | -6 | 34 |
| 21 |  Loudoun United | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 31 |
| 22 |  Birmingham Legion | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 40:46 | -6 | 30 |
| 23 |  Monterey Bay | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 32:52 | -20 | 24 |
| 24 |  Brooklyn FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 34:63 | -29 | 21 |
| 25 |  Sporting Jax | 30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 32:78 | -46 | 14 |
El Paso Locomotive vs Tulsa Roughnecks Prediction (Sep 26, 2026)
The El Paso Locomotive vs Tulsa Roughnecks prediction for their USL Championship clash on Sep 26, 2026, points to a home favorite. Based on the latest form, head-to-head record, and league standings, El Paso Locomotive enters the match with a 45% win probability, while Tulsa Roughnecks has a 25% chance and the draw sits at 30%.
Team Form
El Paso Locomotive is in outstanding form, having won their last five matches in the USL Championship. They secured a 3-1 away victory at Phoenix Rising on Sep 20, a 2-1 win at Louisville on Sep 13, a dominant 4-1 home win over Loudoun United on Aug 30, a 2-1 home success against Pittsburgh Riverhounds on Aug 27, and a 1-0 away shutout at Colorado Springs Switchbacks on Aug 23. This perfect run shows both attacking firepower and defensive solidity.
Tulsa Roughnecks' recent form is mixed, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five outings. They drew 2-2 at Brooklyn FC on Sep 20, lost 2-1 at Phoenix Rising on Sep 13, played a goalless draw at San Antonio FC on Sep 6, beat Rhode Island FC 1-0 at home on Aug 30, and thrashed Orange County Blue Star 5-1 away on Aug 23. While capable of high-scoring performances, consistency has been an issue on the road.
Head-to-Head Record
The last four meetings between these sides have favored Tulsa Roughnecks. El Paso Locomotive has yet to win in this span, with Tulsa claiming two victories and two draws. The most recent encounter on Jul 19, 2026, saw Tulsa win 1-0 at home. Earlier in the season, on Apr 30, 2026, Tulsa won 4-1 at El Paso. The 2025 meetings both ended 1-1, on Oct 19 in El Paso and May 11 in Tulsa. Overall, the head-to-head record shows 0 wins for El Paso, 2 draws, and 2 wins for Tulsa.
League Table Positions
El Paso Locomotive sits 2nd in the USL Championship overall standings with 46 points from 25 matches (14 wins, 4 draws, 7 losses), scoring 44 goals and conceding 31. They are the best away team in the league, but at home they have collected 20 points from 11 games. Tulsa Roughnecks is 11th with 37 points from 24 matches (10 wins, 7 draws, 7 losses), with 29 goals scored and 23 conceded. On the road, Tulsa has 16 points from 12 away games (4 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses), ranking 7th in the away table.
Win Probability: El Paso Locomotive or Tulsa Roughnecks?
We calculate the outcome probabilities based on bookmaker odds, recent form, head-to-head history, and league positions. The base implied probabilities from the odds (1.88 home, 2.20 draw, 3.65 away) were adjusted to remove the margin and then weighted with the strong El Paso form and home advantage, while also accounting for Tulsa's unbeaten H2H record. The final probabilities are:
- El Paso Locomotive win: 45%
- Draw: 30%
- Tulsa Roughnecks win: 25%
El Paso's five-match winning streak and higher league standing make them the more likely winner, but Tulsa's historical edge in this fixture keeps the draw and away win probabilities significant.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see El Paso Locomotive as the clear favorite. The available odds for the full-time result are 1.88 for a home win, 2.20 for the draw, and 3.65 for an away win. These odds reflect the home team's superior form and league position. Our El Paso Locomotive vs Tulsa Roughnecks prediction is a home win, but with caution given the head-to-head trend. Based on the stats, El Paso Locomotive is the most probable winner, but a draw cannot be ruled out.
El Paso Locomotive vs Tulsa Roughnecks โ FAQ
- Who will win El Paso Locomotive vs Tulsa Roughnecks?
- El Paso Locomotive is the favorite with a 45% win probability. The draw has a 30% chance, and Tulsa Roughnecks has a 25% chance of winning. This assessment is based on El Paso's five-game winning streak, home advantage, and higher league position, tempered by Tulsa's unbeaten record in the last four head-to-head meetings.
- What is the win probability for El Paso Locomotive?
- El Paso Locomotive has a 45% chance to win the match. This figure comes from adjusting the bookmaker odds with the team's perfect recent form (five consecutive wins) and their 2nd place in the league, while also factoring in Tulsa's strong historical results against them.
- When is the El Paso Locomotive vs Tulsa Roughnecks match?
- The match is scheduled for September 26, 2026, at 02:00 (local time). It is a USL Championship fixture, the second-tier professional soccer league in the USA.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The current full-time result odds are: El Paso Locomotive win at 1.88, draw at 2.20, and Tulsa Roughnecks win at 3.65. These odds indicate that bookmakers consider the home side as the favorite.
- What is the head-to-head record between El Paso Locomotive and Tulsa Roughnecks?
- In the last four meetings, Tulsa Roughnecks has the upper hand with 2 wins and 2 draws. El Paso Locomotive has not won any of those matches. The most recent game on Jul 19, 2026, ended 1-0 to Tulsa, and the previous encounter on Apr 30, 2026, finished 4-1 to Tulsa.