Respublika FA - Turan Yaypan prediction 8 October 2026

Our Respublika FA vs Turan Yaypan prediction for the Uzbekistan Pro League clash on October 8, 2026, at 11:30 local time is a home win. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Respublika FA has a 52% chance of winning, while a draw stands at 25% and an away victory for Turan Yaypan at 23%.

Team Form

Respublika FA come into this match with a mixed run of results. In their last five games, they have recorded three wins and two losses (W-W-L-L-W). They secured impressive away victories against Lochin (3-0) and BuxDU Buxoro (2-1), but suffered a 3-2 home defeat to FarDu Fergana and a 3-2 away loss to the same opponent. Their most recent outing was a 3-1 win at Kattaqorgon on September 7. Notably, four of those five matches were away from home, making their three wins a solid return.

Turan Yaypan have struggled for consistency, with just one win in their last five (L-D-L-L-W). They were beaten 5-2 at home by Aral Samali PFK, drew 0-0 away at Gazalkent, lost 4-1 at home to Shurtan Guzar, and fell 3-1 at Jayhun Nukus. Their sole victory in this period was a 2-0 home success against Pakhtakor Tashkent II on August 20. The away side have lost three of their last four road trips, which is a concern ahead of this fixture.

Head-to-Head Record

These two sides have met only once before, with Turan Yaypan claiming a 1-0 home win on May 31, 2026. That result gives the away side a psychological edge, but with such a limited sample size, it’s difficult to draw firm conclusions.

League Table Positions

In the Pro League standings, Turan Yaypan sit 10th with 22 points from 19 matches, while Respublika FA are 11th with 19 points from 18 games. The three-point gap is narrow, and Respublika FA have a game in hand. Turan Yaypan have scored 21 goals and conceded 32, whereas Respublika FA have netted 22 and let in 29. The home side’s slightly better goal difference and extra match to play suggest they could climb above their opponents with a win here.

Win Probability: Respublika FA or Turan Yaypan?

We calculate the win probability based on bookmaker odds, recent form, and home advantage. The 1X2 odds of 1.75 for a home win, 3.70 for a draw, and 3.70 for an away win imply probabilities of 51.3%, 24.3%, and 24.3% after removing the margin. Adjusting for Respublika FA’s stronger recent form (three wins in five) and the fact they are playing at home, we raise their chance slightly to 52%. The draw remains at 25%, and Turan Yaypan’s win probability drops to 23%. Therefore, Respublika FA are the more likely winners, but the match is far from a foregone conclusion.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have Respublika FA as clear favorites with odds of 1.75. A draw is priced at 3.70, the same as an away win for Turan Yaypan. With odds of 1.75, a successful bet on Respublika FA would return 1.75 units for every 1 unit staked. Our Respublika FA vs Turan Yaypan prediction aligns with the market: the home side should have enough to secure all three points. However, given Turan Yaypan’s H2H win and Respublika FA’s occasional defensive lapses, a draw cannot be ruled out. For betting tips, the home win offers value, but cautious punters may consider the draw no bet market.