Our Ituzaingo Reserves vs UAI Urquiza Reserves prediction for this Primera B Metropolitana Reserve fixture on Sep 02, 2026, at 14:00, points to an away victory. Based on the latest odds and team form, UAI Urquiza Reserves has a 55% chance of winning, while Ituzaingo Reserves holds just a 20% probability, with the draw at 25%.
Ituzaingo Reserves come into this match in poor shape. Their last five results show one draw and four losses: D, L, L, L, L. In their most recent outing on Aug 19, they drew 0-0 away at Defensores Unidos Reserves. Before that, they suffered a 0-1 home loss to Villa Dalmine Reserves on Aug 12, a 0-2 away defeat to Club Comunicaciones Reserves on Aug 05, a 0-1 home loss to CA Excursionistas Reserves on Jul 29, and a 0-1 away loss to CS Dock Sud Reserves on Jul 08. They have failed to score in four of those five matches, highlighting a serious attacking problem.
UAI Urquiza Reserves have been much more consistent, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five: W, L, D, W, W. Their latest match on Aug 20 was a 2-1 home win over Villa Dalmine Reserves. They lost 1-2 away to CA Excursionistas Reserves on Aug 11, drew 0-0 at home with Arsenal de Sarandi Reserves on Aug 05, won 2-1 away at Argentino de Merlo Reserves on Jul 28, and thrashed Deportivo Laferrere Reserves 4-0 away on Jul 02. They have scored 9 goals in these five games, showing strong offensive output, especially on the road.
There is no previous head-to-head record between Ituzaingo Reserves and UAI Urquiza Reserves. This will be their first meeting, so no historical data can influence the prediction.
We calculate the win probabilities by starting with the bookmaker odds (home 4.00, draw 3.50, away 1.73) and removing the margin. The fair odds imply a 22.5% chance for a home win, 25.7% for a draw, and 51.9% for an away win. Adjusting for current form, where Ituzaingo Reserves have lost four of their last five and UAI Urquiza Reserves have won three of five, we shift the probabilities further in favor of the away side. The final outcome probabilities are:
UAI Urquiza Reserves are the more likely winners, with a 55% chance. The home team's poor attacking record and the visitors' strong away form justify this adjustment.
The pre-match odds for this Primera B Metropolitana Reserve clash are: Ituzaingo Reserves to win at 4.00, a draw at 3.50, and UAI Urquiza Reserves to win at 1.73. Bookmakers clearly see UAI Urquiza Reserves as the favorite. Based on the stats, our prediction is an away win. The total goals expectation is moderate, but UAI Urquiza Reserves' ability to score on the road (4 goals in one away game) suggests they could cover the win. However, always consider the unpredictable nature of reserve team football.