UAI Urquiza - Real Pilar prediction 12 October 2026
UAI Urquiza
Real PilarUAI Urquiza
Villa San CarlosUAI UrquizaVilla San CarlosCSD LiniersUAI UrquizaUAI UrquizaReal PilarUAI UrquizaItuzaingoVilla DalmineUAI UrquizaUAI UrquizaExcursionistasArsenal de SarandiUAI UrquizaUAI UrquizaArgentino MerloTalleres RemediosUAI UrquizaUAI UrquizaDeportivo LaferrereBrown De AdrogueUAI UrquizaUAI UrquizaDeportivo ArmenioFlandriaUAI UrquizaUAI UrquizaArgentino de QuilmesReal PilarCSD LiniersReal PilarItuzaingoUAI UrquizaReal PilarReal PilarVilla DalmineExcursionistasReal PilarReal PilarArsenal de SarandiArgentino MerloReal PilarReal PilarTalleres RemediosDeportivo LaferrereReal PilarReal PilarBrown De AdrogueDeportivo ArmenioReal PilarReal PilarFlandriaArgentino de QuilmesReal PilarReal PilarDefensores UnidosComunicacionesReal PilarUAI UrquizaReal PilarReal PilarUAI UrquizaUAI UrquizaReal PilarReal PilarUAI Urquiza| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Excursionistas | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 68:31 | +37 | 81 |
| 2 |  Arsenal de Sarandi | 41 | 21 | 13 | 7 | 55:27 | +28 | 76 |
| 3 |  Talleres Remedios | 41 | 20 | 11 | 10 | 46:26 | +20 | 71 |
| 4 |  Sportivo Italiano | 41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | 47:33 | +14 | 69 |
| 5 |  Villa Dalmine | 41 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 40:27 | +13 | 68 |
| 6 |  Club Atletico Social y Deportivo Camioneros | 41 | 18 | 13 | 10 | 48:34 | +14 | 67 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 41 | 18 | 11 | 12 | 44:40 | +4 | 65 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Armenio | 41 | 17 | 11 | 13 | 42:39 | +3 | 62 |
| 9 |  Deportivo Laferrere | 41 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 50:52 | -2 | 58 |
| 10 |  Comunicaciones | 41 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 39:35 | +4 | 57 |
| 11 |  San Martin Burzaco | 41 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 41:46 | -5 | 51 |
| 12 |  Villa San Carlos | 41 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 40:45 | -5 | 50 |
| 13 |  Flandria | 41 | 13 | 9 | 19 | 39:49 | -10 | 48 |
| 14 |  Deportivo Merlo | 41 | 11 | 15 | 15 | 39:54 | -15 | 48 |
| 15 |  Argentino Merlo | 41 | 12 | 11 | 18 | 37:44 | -7 | 47 |
| 16 |  Argentino de Quilmes | 41 | 10 | 17 | 14 | 33:40 | -7 | 47 |
| 17 |  Dock Sud | 41 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 41:49 | -8 | 47 |
| 18 |  CSD Liniers | 41 | 10 | 15 | 16 | 34:43 | -9 | 45 |
| 19 |  Brown De Adrogue | 40 | 9 | 16 | 15 | 25:37 | -12 | 43 |
| 20 |  Defensores Unidos | 40 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 33:40 | -7 | 42 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 41 | 7 | 21 | 13 | 25:36 | -11 | 42 |
| 22 |  Ituzaingo | 41 | 1 | 14 | 26 | 28:67 | -39 | 17 |
UAI Urquiza vs Real Pilar Prediction (Oct 12)
The UAI Urquiza vs Real Pilar prediction for October 12, 2026, points towards a closely contested Primera B Metropolitana match in Argentina. Based on the latest odds and head-to-head record, Real Pilar enters as the slight favorite with a 39% win probability, while UAI Urquiza holds a 33% chance and the draw sits at 28%.
Team Form
UAI Urquiza's recent form has been inconsistent, recording two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches (W, D, L, L, W). Their most recent outing was a 3-2 home victory against Ituzaingo on October 5. Prior to that, they played a 0-0 draw away at Villa Dalmine and suffered a 1-2 home loss to Excursionistas.
Real Pilar shows a slightly better run with three wins and two losses in their last five (W, L, W, W, L). They are coming off a strong 2-0 home win against Villa Dalmine on October 3. However, their away form has been mixed, including a 0-3 defeat at Excursionistas and a 1-0 win at Argentino Merlo.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record heavily favors Real Pilar. In their three previous meetings, Real Pilar has won twice and drawn once. UAI Urquiza has yet to secure a victory. The most recent clash on May 30, 2026, saw Real Pilar win 2-1 at home. The only meeting at UAI Urquiza's ground ended in a 0-1 defeat for the hosts on September 8, 2025.
League Table Positions
Real Pilar sits 8th in the overall Primera B Metropolitana standings with 61 points from 38 matches, having scored 42 goals and conceded 38. UAI Urquiza is not listed in the top 12 of the provided league table, indicating a lower position and a significant gap in points compared to their opponents. Real Pilar's away record is solid, ranking 6th with 30 points from 19 games on the road.
Win Probability: UAI Urquiza or Real Pilar?
After analyzing the available data, the win probabilities are calculated as follows: UAI Urquiza has a 33% chance of winning, the draw has a 28% chance, and Real Pilar has a 39% chance. This calculation uses the inverse of the best available odds (home 3.56, draw 3.08, away 2.37) normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and is adjusted downwards for the home team due to their poor head-to-head record (0 wins in 3) and lower league standing. Real Pilar's superior H2H dominance and higher table position justify their status as the more likely winner.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see this as a competitive fixture. The best available odds show a home win for UAI Urquiza at 3.56, a draw at 3.08, and an away win for Real Pilar at 2.37. The low odds for Real Pilar confirm their favorite status. Based on the stats, form, and H2H record, the most likely outcome is an away victory for Real Pilar, though a draw is a strong possibility given UAI Urquiza's home advantage.
UAI Urquiza vs Real Pilar โ FAQ
- Who will win UAI Urquiza vs Real Pilar?
- Real Pilar is the favorite to win, with a calculated 39% probability. UAI Urquiza has a 33% chance, and the draw is at 28%. This is based on Real Pilar's dominant head-to-head record and higher league position.
- What is the win probability for Real Pilar?
- Real Pilar has a 39% chance of winning against UAI Urquiza. This probability is derived from bookmaker odds and adjusted for their strong H2H record, where they have won two and drawn one of three matches.
- When is the UAI Urquiza vs Real Pilar match?
- The match is scheduled for October 12, 2026, at 19:00 local time. It is a Primera B Metropolitana fixture in Argentina.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The best available odds for the match are 3.56 for a UAI Urquiza win, 3.08 for a draw, and 2.37 for a Real Pilar win. These odds indicate that bookmakers see Real Pilar as the favorite.