Ponikve - Udarnik Kurilovec prediction 3 October 2026
Ponikve
Udarnik Kurilovec
Zagorec KrapinaPonikvePonikveUdarnik KurilovecGaj MacePonikveGaj MacePonikveZagorec KrapinaPonikveGaj MacePonikvePonikveUdarnik KurilovecPreckoPonikveMaksimir ZagrebPonikveNaftas HASK ZagrebPonikveGaj MacePonikveTekstilac RavnicePonikvePonikveSava StrmecPonikveDinamo Odranski ObrezPonikveVrapce ZagrebPonikveUdarnik KurilovecUdarnik KurilovecBjelovarNaftas HASK ZagrebUdarnik KurilovecVrapce ZagrebUdarnik KurilovecDinamo ZagrebUdarnik KurilovecGaj MaceUdarnik KurilovecPreckoUdarnik KurilovecPonikveUdarnik KurilovecUdarnik KurilovecIstra 1961Udarnik KurilovecMaksimir ZagrebTresnjevkaUdarnik KurilovecUdarnik KurilovecOriolik OriovacBistraUdarnik KurilovecNK ZemunikUdarnik KurilovecUdarnik KurilovecNk Mladost PetrinjaPonikveUdarnik KurilovecPonikveUdarnik Kurilovec| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NK Pazinka | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 27:8 | +19 | 27 |
| 2 |  Buje | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 20:6 | +14 | 27 |
| 3 |  Pomorac | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22:8 | +14 | 26 |
| 4 |  Krk | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20:12 | +8 | 24 |
| 5 |  NK Lokomotiva Rijeka | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 28:22 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 |  Kraljevica | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 22 |
| 7 |  Naprijed Hreljin | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 18:14 | +4 | 20 |
| 8 |  NK Banjole | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 |  Rudar Labin | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 18 |
| 10 |  Jadran Porec | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 17 |
| 11 |  Vinodol | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 16 |
| 12 |  Halubjan | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 20:21 | -1 | 15 |
| 13 |  OSK Omisalj | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14:25 | -11 | 13 |
| 14 |  NK Novalja | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14:26 | -12 | 11 |
| 15 |  Crikvenica | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 7:21 | -14 | 9 |
| 16 |  Nehaj Sejn | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9:25 | -16 | 9 |
Ponikve vs Udarnik Kurilovec Prediction (Oct 3)
Ponikve vs Udarnik Kurilovec prediction for the Treca HNL match on Oct 3, 2026. Based on odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Ponikve have a 40% chance of winning, making them the slight favorite over Udarnik Kurilovec.
Team Form
Ponikve are struggling with three losses and two draws in their last five matches, all away from home. They have not won in their last five outings, conceding 11 goals across those games. Their most recent fixture ended in a 4-1 defeat at Gaj Mace on Sep 27, 2026.
Udarnik Kurilovec are in even worse shape, losing four of their last five matches across all competitions and drawing one. They have scored just 1 goal in that run while conceding 9. Their last match was a 4-0 friendly loss to Bjelovar on Aug 1, 2026.
Head-to-Head Record
These teams have faced each other only once before. On Nov 15, 2025, Ponikve hosted Udarnik Kurilovec in the Druga HNL and the match ended in a 0-0 draw. That result suggests a low-scoring encounter could be on the cards again.
League Table Positions
Neither Ponikve nor Udarnik Kurilovec appear in the top 12 of the Treca HNL standings based on available data. This implies they are likely in the lower half of the table, which aligns with their poor recent form.
Win Probability: Ponikve or Udarnik Kurilovec?
After removing the bookmaker margin from the odds, the base implied probabilities were: Ponikve win ~41%, draw ~26%, Udarnik Kurilovec win ~33%. Adjusting for both teamsโ terrible form and the defensive trend in the only H2H meeting, we assign a slightly higher chance to a deadlock. Our final match outcome probabilities: Ponikve win โ 40%, draw โ 28%, Udarnik Kurilovec win โ 32%. Ponikve has a slim advantage as the home side, but the match is far from one-sided.
Odds & Ponikve vs Udarnik Kurilovec Prediction
The pre-match odds are: home win priced at 2.20, the draw at 3.40, and an away victory at 2.75. Bookmakers see Ponikve as the favorite, but the odds also suggest that a draw or an away win are realistic outcomes. Our Ponikve vs Udarnik Kurilovec prediction is a cautious one โ based on the stats, a low-scoring draw or a narrow home victory looks the most likely scenario. Betting tips would lean towards the double chance home/draw or under total goals.
Ponikve vs Udarnik Kurilovec โ FAQ
- Who will win Ponikve vs Udarnik Kurilovec?
- Ponikve has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Udarnik Kurilovec has a 32% chance. Ponikve is the slight favorite, but a draw is a very possible outcome given both teams' poor form.
- What is the win probability for Ponikve?
- Ponikve has a 40% win probability. This is based on adjusted odds and recent results. Despite being the home side, their last five matches without a win lower their chances.
- When is the Ponikve vs Udarnik Kurilovec match?
- The match is scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, at 14:00 local time. It is a Treca HNL fixture in Croatia.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The pre-match 1X2 odds are: Ponikve win at 2.20, draw at 3.40, and Udarnik Kurilovec win at 2.75.
- What is the head-to-head record between Ponikve and Udarnik Kurilovec?
- The teams have met only once, on Nov 15, 2025, in the Druga HNL. That match ended in a 0-0 draw.