Ujpest - Puskas Akademia prediction 17 October 2026

Our Ujpest vs Puskas Akademia prediction for this NB I clash on October 17, 2026, points to a tight contest with the hosts holding a slight edge. Ujpest enter with a 40% chance of victory, the draw sits at 35%, and Puskas Akademia are at 25%. Both sides are separated by just one point in the table, and the oddsmakers agree the game is wide open.

Team Form

Ujpest Form

Ujpest's last five results read W D D W L (2 wins,2 draws,1 loss). They beat Zalaegerszegi 2-1 at home, played out a 0-0 draw at Dorogi in the cup, claimed a 2-2 draw at Ferencvaros, thrashed Vasas 3-1 at home, and fell 2-0 away to Paksi. Crucially, Ujpest are unbeaten at home in the league this season — 3 wins and 1 draw, scoring 10 and conceding only 5. That fortress-like record is the foundation of their Ujpest vs Puskas Akademia prediction optimism.

Puskas Akademia Form

Puskas Akademia’s recent form is L W W L L. They lost a friendly 2-1 at DAC Dunajska Streda, defeated Honved 3-1 at home, crushed Mezoors 8-1 away in the cup, then suffered consecutive league losses — 1-0 at Zalaegerszegi and 2-1 at home to Ferencvaros. On the road in the NB I, however, Puskas have been excellent: 3 wins, 1 loss, 6 goals scored and only 3 conceded, good for the second-best away record. That travelling strength makes them a real threat.

Head-to-Head Record

Historically, Puskas Akademia have dominated this fixture. In 39 meetings, they have won 24, with 7 draws and just 8 Ujpest victories. The last five encounters: Puskas won 2-0 (Apr 2026) and 1-0 (Jan 2026), with three draws — 0-0, 1-1, and 1-1. Ujpest have failed to score in the last two H2I matches, a trend they will need to snap. The head-to-head leans heavily blue, which tempers home advantage in this Ujpest vs Puskas Akademia prediction.

League Table Positions

In the NB I standings, Puskas Akademia sit 3rd with 15 points (5 wins,0 draws,3 losses; 13 scored,10 conceded), while Ujpest are 4th on 14 points (4 wins,2 draws,2 losses; 17 scored,13 conceded). The gap is just one point. Ujpest top the home table with 10 points from 4 matches, while Puskas rank 2nd in the away table with 9 points from 4 trips. It’s a genuine clash of home strength versus away strength, and that is why the draw market is so prominent.

Win Probability: Ujpest or Puskas Akademia?

Based on the odds, recent form, H2I record, and home/away records, we calculate the following win probabilities: Ujpest 40%, draw 35%, Puskas Akademia 25%. The implied probabilities from bookmaker odds (after removing the margin) pointed to a narrow advantage for the hosts, but Ujpest’s unbeaten home form nudges their number higher. However, Puskas’s strong away performances and historical supremacy — especially two straight wins over Ujpest without conceding — inflate the draw chance and limit the away side’s win probability. Overall, Ujpest are the more likely winner, but a stalemate is almost as probable.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds see Ujpest at 2.20, the draw at 2.40, and Puskas Akademia at 3.00. Bookmakers make Ujpest the favourites, but the market is tight. Based on the stats, a low-scoring draw fits the pattern — the last three H2I meetings all had under 2.5 goals, and both teams are well-organised defensively in respective home/away splits. A 1-1 scoreline echoes the recent head-to-head trend. Therefore, the safest approach is to consider the draw or under 2.5 goals. Ujpest’s home record should see them avoid defeat, but Puskas have enough quality to earn a share of the spoils.