Ujpesti II - Monori SE prediction 3 October 2026

Ujpesti II vs Monori SE prediction for the NB III match on October 3, 2026. Our analysis gives Ujpesti II a 40% chance of winning, the draw a 33% chance, and Monori SE a 27% chance, making the home side the slight favorite in this Hungarian third-tier clash.

Team Form

Ujpesti II come into this match with a recent form of W, L, W, W, D. They scored 12 goals in those five games, including a 6-1 home thrashing of Szegedi Vasutas SE on September 6. Their only defeat was a 0-3 loss at Honved II. At home this season, Ujpesti II are unbeaten with three wins and two draws, scoring 18 goals and conceding just 6.

Monori SE are unbeaten in their last five matches with D, W, D, W, W. They netted 12 goals in that run, beating BKV Elore 3-1, Hodmezovasarhely 4-1, and Szegedi Vasutas SE 3-2. Their away form this season shows one win, three draws, and one loss, with 10 goals scored and 10 conceded.

Head-to-Head Record

Monori SE have dominated this fixture, winning all three previous meetings. The most recent was a 1-0 friendly win on July 9, 2025. In competitive matches, Monori SE won 3-1 in NB II in August 2020 and 2-0 in NB III in May 2017. Ujpesti II have yet to beat Monori SE.

League Table Positions

Ujpesti II sit 4th in the NB III overall table with 17 points from 9 games (5 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). Monori SE are 8th with 13 points (3 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses). In the home standings, Ujpesti II are 5th with 11 points from 5 unbeaten home matches. Monori SE rank 6th in the away table with 6 points from 5 away games, losing only once.

Win Probability: Ujpesti II or Monori SE?

Ujpesti II have a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 33%, and Monori SE have a 27% chance. These probabilities are based on bookmaker odds (inverse of odds normalized to remove margin) and adjusted for team form, home advantage, and head-to-head records. The odds implied a very close contest, but Ujpesti II's strong home form and higher league position give them a slight edge. Monori SE's perfect H2H record keeps the away win probability above 25%.

Ujpesti II vs Monori SE Prediction & Odds

Bookmakers offer varying odds: Ujpesti II win between 2.05 and 2.62, the draw between 2.38 and 3.70, and Monori SE win between 2.80 and 3.10. The market sees this as an open match. Based on the stats, Ujpesti II are the most likely winners, but the draw is a strong possibility. Our prediction: Ujpesti II to win, but a double chance bet on Ujpesti II or draw offers extra security.