Ulinzi Stars - Migori Youth prediction 9 November 2026
Ulinzi Stars
Migori YouthUlinzi Stars
Mara SugarKakamega HomeboyzUlinzi StarsUlinzi StarsMigori YouthUlinzi StarsTuskerUlinzi StarsTuskerUlinzi StarsTuskerPosta RangersUlinzi StarsUlinzi StarsTuskerUlinzi StarsMathare UnitedUlinzi StarsAFC Leopards SCShabana FCUlinzi StarsUlinzi StarsTuskerBandariUlinzi StarsKenya Commercial BankUlinzi StarsKakamega HomeboyzUlinzi StarsMigori YouthMathare UnitedUlinzi StarsMigori YouthMigori YouthKenya Police FCGor MahiaMigori Youth3K FCMigori YouthKisumuMigori YouthMigori YouthKibera Black StarsMombasa UnitedMigori YouthKabati Youth FCMigori YouthMigori YouthNaivasLuanda VillaMigori YouthMigori YouthFC TalantaVihiga United Mulembe UtdMigori YouthMigori YouthDarajani GogoSoy United FCMigori YouthUlinzi StarsMigori YouthUlinzi StarsMigori Youth| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gor Mahia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 9 |
| 2 |  3K FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | +1 | 5 |
| 3 |  Mara Sugar | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | +1 | 5 |
| 4 |  AFC Leopards SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 5 |  Shabana FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1:0 | +1 | 5 |
| 6 |  Kakamega Homeboyz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 |  Kenya Commercial Bank | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 |  Tusker | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Muranga Seal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 |  Nairobi United | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 |  Posta Rangers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 12 | Migori Youth | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 |  Kenya Police FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 |  Bandari | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 |  Aps Bomet FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 | Ulinzi Stars | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 |  Mombasa United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth Prediction (Oct 23)
The Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth prediction for October 23, 2026, points to a tightly contested Kenyan Premier League match where the hosts hold a slight edge. Bookmakers and recent data suggest Ulinzi Stars has around a 37% win probability, while Migori Youth follows closely at 34%, setting the stage for a tense battle.
Team Form
Ulinzi Stars approach this fixture winless in their last five matches, recording four draws and one loss. Their most recent outings include back-to-back 1-1 and 0-0 stalemates against Kakamega Homeboyz and Migori Youth respectively, alongside a 2-0 defeat to Tusker. The team has struggled to find the net consistently, failing to score in four of those five games.
Migori Youthโs recent form shows a similar pattern of resilience. They have four draws and one win from their last five matches across all competitions. Notably, they earned a 1-1 draw at home against Kenya Police FC and held Gor Mahia to a 2-2 draw in a friendly. Their standout result was a 1-0 away victory against Kisumu in the Super League, demonstrating their capability to grind out results on the road.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record heavily favors the home side based on prior meetings. Ulinzi Stars remain unbeaten against Migori Youth with one win and one draw. Their most recent encounter, played just a week before this fixture on October 16, 2026, ended in a goalless draw at this very stadium. The only other recorded match took place in March 2020, where Ulinzi Stars secured a 1-0 victory.
League Table Positions
The Kenyan Premier League standings are still taking shape early in the season. Migori Youth sit 11th with 1 point from a single game, having scored 1 goal and conceded 1. Ulinzi Stars do not appear in the top 12 of the overall table data provided, indicating a slow start to their campaign. In the home standings, Migori Youth hold the 8th position with 1 point. The narrow gap in points highlights the competitive balance expected in this matchup.
Win Probability: Ulinzi Stars or Migori Youth?
Based on the provided odds (home 2.52, draw 2.75, away 2.75), we calculated the inverse percentages and normalized them to remove the bookmaker margin. Adjusting for head-to-head records and recent form, the probabilities are: Ulinzi Stars win: 37%, Draw: 29%, Migori Youth win: 34%. Ulinzi Stars edge it statistically, but the draw is a very real possibility given both teams' recent records.
Odds & Match Prediction
The bookmakers see this as a tough one to call. The odds for a home win are set at 2.52, with a draw and an away win both priced at 2.75. The minimal difference between the draw and away odds suggests that the market does not differentiate heavily between those two outcomes. Based on the stats and form, the most likely result is a narrow victory for Ulinzi Stars, but a low-scoring draw cannot be discounted.
Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth โ FAQ
- Who will win Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth?
- Ulinzi Stars are the slight favorites based on the data. The win probability gives Ulinzi Stars a 37% chance of winning, Migori Youth a 34% chance, and the draw is at 29%. The match is expected to be very close.
- What is the win probability for Ulinzi Stars?
- Ulinzi Stars have a 37% chance of winning the match. This probability is calculated using the bookmaker odds, their unbeaten head-to-head record against Migori Youth, and the advantage of playing at home.
- When is the Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth match?
- The match is scheduled for October 23, 2026, with a kick-off time of 12:00. It is a Kenyan Premier League fixture taking place at the home ground of Ulinzi Stars.
- What are the odds for Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth?
- The odds for this Premier League match are 2.52 for a home win for Ulinzi Stars, 2.75 for a draw, and 2.75 for an away win for Migori Youth. The draw and away win are identically priced by bookmakers.
- What is the head-to-head record between Ulinzi Stars and Migori Youth?
- In the two recorded head-to-head meetings, Ulinzi Stars are unbeaten with one win and one draw. The last match, played on October 16, 2026, ended in a 0-0 draw, while Ulinzi Stars won the earlier fixture 1-0 in March 2020.