Ullern - Grei prediction 10 October 2026

The Ullern vs Grei prediction for October 10, 2026, points to a home advantage in this Norwegian 3rd Division clash. Based on our win probability model, Ullern enters the match as the favorite with a 48% chance of victory, while Grei holds a 24% chance and the draw sits at 28%. Below we break down the key stats, head-to-head record, and latest odds.

Team Form

Ullern’s last five matches have produced two wins and three losses (W-L-W-L-L). They beat Kfum 2 (3-1 away) and Valerenga 2 (2-1 home), but fell to Heming (0-3), Ready (3-4), and Asker (2-6). Grei also has two wins and three losses in their last five (W-W-L-L-L). Their victories came against Asker (4-3 home) and Ready (3-2 away), while defeats were against Heming (1-4), Konnerud (2-3), and Union Carl Berner (0-1). Both sides have been inconsistent, but Ullern’s home form gives them a slight edge.

Head-to-Head Record

Ullern dominates the H2H record with 4 wins to Grei’s 1, and no draws. The most recent meeting on April 25, 2026, saw Grei win 3-2 at home. However, prior to that, Ullern won four straight, including a 3-1 home victory in June 2019 and three 3-1 away wins in September 2019. The historical data strongly favors Ullern in this fixture.

League Table Positions

In the 3rd Division standings, Ullern sits 10th with 23 points from 22 matches (7 wins, 2 draws, 13 losses). Grei is not listed in the top 12, indicating they are lower in the table. Ullern’s home record shows 4 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, placing them 8th in the home standings. The gap in league position further supports Ullern’s favorite status.

Win Probability: Ullern or Grei?

We calculate the win probability by normalizing the bookmaker odds and adjusting for team form, head-to-head record, and league positions. Ullern has a 48% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Grei has a 24% chance. The home side’s historical dominance and higher league standing outweigh the recent form parity, making Ullern the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a competitive match. The 1X2 odds are: home win at 2.10, draw at 3.00, and away win at 3.25. These odds imply a close contest, but the value may lie with the home side given the H2H record. Based on the stats, our Ullern vs Grei prediction is a home win, but the draw is a realistic possibility given both teams’ recent inconsistency.