Heming - Ullern prediction 26 September 2026

The Heming vs Ullern prediction for the 3rd Division match on Sep 26, 2026, points to a home victory. Based on our analysis of team form, head-to-head record, and league standings, Heming has a 60% chance of winning, while Ullern sits at 18% and the draw at 22%.

Team Form

Heming come into this fixture with three wins from their last five outings (W, W, L, W, L). Their most recent result was a convincing 4-1 away win at Grei on Sep 19. Prior to that, they thrashed Frigg 5-1 at home and beat Valerenga 2 5-2, but suffered a 2-1 loss at Gamle Oslo FK and a 2-0 cup defeat to Stabaek. At home, Heming have been particularly strong, scoring 26 goals in 10 league matches and losing only twice.

Ullern also have three wins in their last five (W, L, L, W, W). They edged Valerenga 2 2-1 at home on Sep 19, won 3-2 at Lokomotiv Oslo, and beat Union Carl Berner 4-1. However, defensive frailties were exposed in a 6-2 home loss to Asker and a 4-3 defeat at Ready. Away from home, Ullern have struggled overall, as reflected in their 10th-place league position.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met once before, on Jul 25, 2026, in the same competition. Heming won that away fixture 3-1, giving them a 1-0 advantage in the head-to-head with no draws. That result underlines Heming's superiority in this matchup.

League Table Positions

Heming sit 3rd in the 3rd Division with 39 points from 20 matches (12 wins, 3 draws, 5 losses). They have scored 50 goals and conceded 31. Ullern are 10th with 20 points (6 wins, 2 draws, 12 losses), scoring 39 and conceding 54. The 19-point gap and the home/away split – Heming are 4th in the home table (7W 1D 2L) – further highlight the gulf between the teams.

Win Probability: Heming or Ullern?

After evaluating all available data, we assign the following win probabilities: Heming 60%, draw 22%, Ullern 18%. The calculation is based on league positions, home advantage, the head-to-head result, and recent form. Heming's strong home record (7 wins in 10) and Ullern's poor overall campaign make the home side the clear favorite. While both teams have similar recent form lines, Heming's wins have been more emphatic and against stronger opposition.

Heming vs Ullern Prediction

Odds for this match are not currently listed in our data, but bookmakers would undoubtedly price Heming as strong favorites. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a home win. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games – Heming's matches average 4.05 total goals, Ullern's 4.65 – so over 2.5 goals could also be a sensible betting angle. Our final prediction: Heming to win, with a high probability of multiple goals.