Clarence Zebras - Ulverstone prediction 2 August 2026

Our Clarence Zebras vs Ulverstone prediction for the NPL Tasmania match on Aug 02, 2026, gives Clarence Zebras a 65% chance of winning. The match kicks off at 04:30 and sees the home side as clear favorites, with Ulverstone struggling at the bottom of the table.

Team Form

Clarence Zebras Recent Results

• Jul 18: Riverside Olympic 2-4 Clarence Zebras (W)
• Jul 11: Clarence Zebras 1-2 Launceston City (L)
• Jul 04: Glenorchy Knights 2-2 Clarence Zebras (D)
• Jun 27: Clarence Zebras 1-1 Launceston United (D)
• Jun 20: Devonport City Strikers 2-2 Clarence Zebras (D)

Clarence Zebras have managed just one win in their last five outings, drawing three times. Their attack has been consistent, scoring in each of those matches, but defensive lapses have cost them wins.

Ulverstone Recent Results

• Jul 19: Ulverstone 0-2 Glenorchy Knights (L)
• Jul 11: South Hobart 2-0 Ulverstone (L)
• Jul 04: Ulverstone 2-1 Kingborough Lions (W)
• Jun 27: Riverside Olympic 6-0 Ulverstone (L)
• Jun 20: Launceston United 3-2 Ulverstone (L)

Ulverstone have lost four of their last five matches, conceding 14 goals in that period. The lone victory came at home against Kingborough Lions, but their away form remains a major concern.

Head-to-Head Record

In the only previous head-to-head meeting, Clarence Zebras beat Ulverstone 4-0 away on May 10, 2026. That result highlights the gulf in class between the two sides.

League Table Positions

Clarence Zebras sit 5th in the NPL Tasmania with 24 points from 16 games (7 wins, 3 draws, 6 losses). Ulverstone are 10th with just 4 points (1 win, 1 draw, 14 losses). The 20-point gap reflects the difference in quality. At home, Clarence Zebras have collected 10 points from 8 matches, while Ulverstone's away record is the worst in the league.

Clarence Zebras vs Ulverstone Prediction: Who Will Win?

Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league positions, Clarence Zebras has a 65% chance of winning, the draw is at 22%, and Ulverstone has a 13% chance. The bookmakers' implied probabilities (normalized from average odds of 1.29, 2.99, 5.60) gave Clarence Zebras around 60%, but we have adjusted it upward due to Ulverstone's poor away form and the 4-0 head-to-head win. The draw probability remains significant because Clarence Zebras have drawn three of their last five, but the home side's overall superiority makes a win the most likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer odds of 1.30 for a Clarence Zebras win, 2.98 for the draw, and 5.55 for an Ulverstone victory. These odds make Clarence Zebras the strong favorite. Our prediction: a home win for Clarence Zebras is the most likely outcome, based on the stats.