Umea FC - FBK Karlstad prediction 27 September 2026
Umea FC
FBK Karlstad
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Umea FC vs FBK Karlstad prediction: The Division 1 clash on May 17, 2026 at 11:00 sees Umea FC as the favorite with a 45% chance to win. Our betting tips analyze recent form, head-to-head records, and win probability to help you decide who will win this match.
Team Form
Umea FC come into this game with mixed results. In their last five matches they have recorded one win, two draws, and two losses. The most recent outings were a 1-3 home loss to FC Jarfalla and a 1-3 away loss to Enkopings SK. Prior to that they defeated Pitea IF 2-0 at home, drew 1-1 at Sollentuna United FF, and drew 2-2 at home against IFK Stocksund. Overall, Umea FC have scored 7 goals and conceded 9 in this stretch.
FBK Karlstad's last five matches have been less convincing, with one win, one draw, and three defeats. They suffered a massive 0-7 home loss to Hammarby Talang, followed by a 2-0 away win at Sollentuna United FF. They then lost 1-3 away to Stockholm Internazionale and 2-3 at home to IF Karlstad, before drawing 1-1 away at Karlbergs BK. FBK Karlstad have conceded 14 goals in these five matches, indicating defensive frailties.
Head-to-Head Record
These sides have met only once before in competitive action. On October 12, 2024, Umea FC traveled to FBK Karlstad and secured a convincing 3-1 away victory. That result gives Umea FC a psychological edge heading into this fixture.
Win Probability: Umea FC or FBK Karlstad?
We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Umea FC 45%, Draw 30%, FBK Karlstad 25%. These percentages are derived from the teams' recent form, the historical head-to-head result, and the home advantage for Umea FC. Umea FC's unbeaten record against FBK Karlstad and their more balanced scoring record support their favorite status, while FBK Karlstad's heavy defensive lapses make an away win less likely.
Odds & Match Prediction
No bookmaker odds are available for this event at the time of writing. However, based on the stats, Umea FC are the most probable winner. A straight win bet on Umea FC offers value if the odds are above 2.20, but we recommend checking the latest lines. The prediction is a home victory, with the draw also a plausible outcome given both teams' recent inconsistency.
Umea FC vs FBK Karlstad โ FAQ
- Who will win Umea FC vs FBK Karlstad?
- Umea FC is the predicted winner with a 45% chance, while the draw has a 30% probability and FBK Karlstad stands at 25%. This forecast considers home advantage, recent form, and the teams' sole previous meeting which Umea FC won 3-1.
- What is the win probability for Umea FC?
- Umea FC has a 45% win probability based on our analysis. At home, they have been more consistent, and FBK Karlstad's defensive record has been poor in recent outings.
- When is the Umea FC vs FBK Karlstad match?
- The match takes place on May 17, 2026, at 11:00 local time, in the Swedish Division 1 league.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds are not currently available from our data source. For the latest lines, please visit bookmaker sites.
- What is the head-to-head record between Umea FC and FBK Karlstad?
- The teams have met once before, on October 12, 2024, when Umea FC won 3-1 away. The head-to-head record stands at 1 win for Umea FC and no wins for FBK Karlstad.