Al Khor - Umm Salal prediction 29 September 2026

The Al Khor vs Umm Salal prediction for September 29, 2026, sees these two Qatari sides meet in the Stars Cup at 16:00. Based on the latest odds and recent form, this is a tight contest, with Umm Salal holding a slight edge with a 38% win probability compared to Al Khor's 34%.

Team Form

Al Khor's recent form is poor, with four losses in their last five matches (L, W, L, L, L). Their most recent outing was a 2-0 defeat away to Al Muaither SC in the Stars Cup on September 22. The only bright spot was a 5-1 away win against Umm Salal in League 2 on September 7.

Umm Salal's form is slightly better, recording two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five (W, L, W, D, L). They secured a 1-0 home win against Al Kharitiyath in the Stars Cup on September 21 but suffered a heavy 5-1 home loss to Al Khor earlier in the month.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these teams is remarkably balanced. In their history, Umm Salal has 9 wins, Al Khor has 4, and there have been an extraordinary 70 draws. The last five meetings show this trend: Al Khor won the most recent clash 5-1 on September 7, 2026, but the four prior encounters included three draws (0-0, 1-1, 1-1) and a 3-0 win for Al Khor in March 2025.

League Table Positions

No current league table data is available for the Stars Cup. The provided match data does not include standings for this competition.

Win Probability: Al Khor or Umm Salal?

Calculating the win probability from the available odds and form, we arrive at the following percentages: Al Khor has a 34% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Umm Salal has a 38% chance. The base calculation uses the inverse of the best available odds (home 2.70, draw 2.20, away 2.23) normalized to remove the bookmaker margin. Adjustments were made for Umm Salal's slightly better recent form and their higher number of historical wins in the head-to-head, though Al Khor's dominant 5-1 victory in the last meeting prevents a wider gap. Umm Salal is the more likely winner, but the match is very open.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers present a mixed view. The best odds available are 2.70 for an Al Khor win, 2.20 for a draw, and 2.23 for an Umm Salal win. The low odds on the draw reflect the incredible 70 draws in the head-to-head record. Based on the stats, the most probable outcome is an Umm Salal victory, but a draw is a very strong possibility. The Al Khor vs Umm Salal prediction is a cautious away win, with the draw as a highly likely alternative.