Tijuana Women - Unam Pumas Women prediction 24 October 2026

The Tijuana Women vs Unam Pumas Women prediction for their Liga MX Women clash on Oct 24, 2026, at 04:10 local time points to Unam Pumas Women as the likely winner, with an estimated 45% win probability. Our analysis of team form, head-to-head record, and league standings gives the away side a clear edge, though Tijuana Women’s recent H2H home win adds a note of caution.

Team Form

Tijuana Women come into this match with a patchy run of results, recording one win, one draw, and three defeats in their last five outings. They drew 1-1 away at Puebla Women on Oct 17, beat Atlante FC Women 1-0 at home on Oct 4, then suffered heavy losses to Juarez Women (5-1 away), Chivas Guadalajara Women (0-2 at home), and Toluca Women (6-0 away). That’s just 4 points from a possible 15, exposing defensive frailties.

Unam Pumas Women have been more consistent, picking up 7 points from their last five matches (W2 D1 L2). Their recent sequence: a 1-0 home win over Atlas Women on Oct 18, a 3-1 home loss to Tigres UANL Women, a 0-0 away draw at Atlante FC Women, a 2-0 home win against Puebla Women, and a narrow 3-2 away defeat at Cruz Azul Women. The 18 goals scored in 10 league games hint at an attack that can trouble Tijuana’s backline.

Head-to-Head Record

The last three meetings in Liga MX Women have all produced a winner – no draws. Unam Pumas Women hold the edge with two victories to Tijuana Women’s one. The fixture on Mar 18, 2026, saw Tijuana Women claim a 2-1 home success, but prior to that Unam Pumas Women won back-to-back 1-0 contests: first away on Aug 26, 2025, and then at home on Mar 17, 2025. Overall, the H2H record reads Tijuana Women 1 win, Unam Pumas Women 2 wins.

League Table Positions

In the provided Liga MX Women standings (top 12 teams), Unam Pumas Women sit 10th with 13 points from 10 matches (4 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses; goals 18–17). Tijuana Women do not appear in this top-12 list, indicating a lower position. The away form table shows Unam Pumas Women in 8th place with 7 points from 5 road trips (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, 7 goals scored, 7 conceded), while Tijuana Women are missing from the home standings top eight.

Tijuana Women vs Unam Pumas Women Prediction: Win Probability

Using form, H2H, and league positions as the only available data (no odds figures were supplied), we calculate the match outcome probabilities as follows: Unam Pumas Women have a 45% chance of winning, the draw stands at 25%, and Tijuana Women have a 30% chance. Unam Pumas Women’s superior recent form (7 points vs 4 points from the last five) and their higher league ranking clearly tip the scales, despite Tijuana’s most recent H2H home success. Home advantage for Tijuana is factored in but is offset by their poor defensive record – 13 goals conceded in those last five matches.

Odds & Match Prediction

Specific 1X2 odds are not available in the provided data for this fixture. Without bookmaker numbers, our prediction is based purely on the statistical breakdown. The data points to an away victory for Unam Pumas Women. While Tijuana Women may rally at home, their current form and league standing make Unam Pumas Women the most likely winners. A draw remains a realistic possibility given the intermittent nature of both sides' results.