UNAN Managua - San Marcos FC prediction 18 October 2026

The UNAN Managua vs San Marcos FC prediction for this Primera Division match on Oct 18, 2026, points to a home win. UNAN Managua has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and San Marcos FC has a 20% chance. The match kicks off at 00:00 local time.

Team Form

UNAN Managua Recent Form

UNAN Managua’s last five matches: D, W, W, L, L. They drew 1-1 away at Rancho Santana, beat Real Esteli 1-0 at home, won 3-1 away at H&H Export Sebaco, lost 0-1 away to Deportivo Matagalpa, and lost 0-2 at home to Managua. That’s two wins, one draw, and two defeats, with 5 goals scored and 5 conceded.

San Marcos FC Recent Form

San Marcos FC’s last five: L, L, W, L, W. They lost 0-2 at home to H&H Export Sebaco, lost 1-2 at home to Diriangen, beat ART Jalapa 3-1 at home, lost 0-2 away to Real Esteli, and beat Walter Ferreti 1-0 at home. That’s two wins and three losses, with 5 goals scored and 7 conceded.

UNAN Managua’s home form is strong (3 wins in 4 league home games), while San Marcos have struggled on the road (1 win in 5 away matches).

Head-to-Head Record

The only previous meeting between these teams was on Aug 10, 2026, in the Primera Division. San Marcos FC hosted UNAN Managua and lost 0-1. So UNAN Managua leads the head-to-head with 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses.

League Table Positions

In the Primera Division standings, UNAN Managua sit 4th with 21 points from 11 games (6 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). They have scored 13 goals and conceded only 8. San Marcos FC are 7th with 11 points (3 wins, 2 draws, 6 losses), scoring 10 and conceding 16. At home, UNAN Managua are 3rd with 9 points from 4 games (3 wins, 1 loss). Away, San Marcos are 7th with 5 points from 5 games (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses). The gap in quality and home advantage strongly favors UNAN Managua.

Win Probability: UNAN Managua or San Marcos FC?

Based on all available data — recent form, head-to-head record, league table positions, and home/away performance — we calculate the following win probabilities:

• UNAN Managua win: 55%
• Draw: 25%
• San Marcos FC win: 20%

UNAN Managua’s solid defense (only 8 goals conceded in 11 games) and strong home record make them clear favorites. San Marcos FC’s poor away form and lower league position reduce their chances significantly. The draw is a realistic possibility, but a home win is the most likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction for UNAN Managua vs San Marcos FC

Bookmakers’ odds are not available for this fixture at the time of writing. However, based on the statistics, UNAN Managua would be priced as the favorite, with a home win likely around 1.80 in decimal odds. Betting tips: a home win is the safest pick. Given both teams’ low scoring averages (UNAN 1.18 goals per game, San Marcos 0.91), under 2.5 total goals could also be a valuable angle. Our UNAN Managua vs San Marcos FC prediction is a 1-0 or 2-0 home victory.