Unia Tarnow - Orzel Ryczow prediction 4 September 2026

The Unia Tarnow vs Orzel Ryczow prediction for the IV Liga clash on Sep 04, 2026, at 17:00 points to an away win, with Orzel Ryczow given a 40% chance of victory. The bookmakers' odds suggest a tight contest, but the visitors' recent form makes them the slight favorites.

Team Form

Unia Tarnow's last five results show inconsistency: two wins, two losses, and a draw. They lost 1-2 to Dalin Myslenice on Aug 26, beat Luban Maniowy 2-1 on Aug 14, suffered a heavy 0-5 friendly defeat to Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza on Jun 20, won 0-3 away at Limanovia Limanowa on Jun 06, and drew 1-1 with Wieczysta II Krakow on May 27. Only two of those were home victories in the league, and the team has struggled to build momentum.

Orzel Ryczow, on the other hand, have been in excellent form. They won four of their last five matches: a 1-0 home win over Luban Maniowy, a 2-0 away win at Watra Bialka Tatrzanska, a 5-0 away win at Puszcza Niepolomice 2, and a 5-1 away win at Hutnik Krakow II. The only blemish was a 0-1 away defeat to Limanovia Limanowa. The visitors are scoring freely and conceding very few, making them a formidable opponent.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head history between Unia Tarnow and Orzel Ryczow. The two teams have not faced each other before, so this will be their first meeting in any competition.

Win Probability: Unia Tarnow or Orzel Ryczow?

Based on the odds, recent form, and the lack of a home advantage (no H2H data), we calculate the match outcome probabilities as follows:

• Unia Tarnow win: 30%
• Draw: 30%
• Orzel Ryczow win: 40%

The initial odds implied a draw as the most likely result (around 38%), but Orzel Ryczow's four wins in five games tip the balance slightly in their favour. The home side's mixed results and a heavy friendly loss reduce their chances. Orzel Ryczow are the more reliable team at the moment and have a 40% probability of securing the win.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available 1X2 odds for this match are: home win at 3.10, draw at 2.38, and away win at 2.75. Bookmakers see the draw as the single most likely outcome, but the away win odds are close behind. Based on the stats, our Unia Tarnow vs Orzel Ryczow prediction is an away win, but a draw is also a realistic possibility. The final score is likely to be low-scoring, with both teams finding the net. For betting tips, the value may lie in backing Orzel Ryczow to win, given their superior form.