Union Santa Fe Reserves - Banfield Reserves prediction 6 October 2026

Union Santa Fe Reserves vs Banfield Reserves prediction: the Liga Profesional Reserves match on Oct 6, 2026, at 19:00 sees Union Santa Fe Reserves as the favorite with a 45% win probability. Based on recent form and head-to-head stats, the home side has a clear edge, but Banfield Reserves cannot be ruled out.

Team Form

Union Santa Fe Reserves come into this match with a mixed record: two defeats (0-2 vs Rosario Central Reserves, 1-2 vs Colon de Santa Fe Reserves) were followed by a 5-1 thrashing of CA Tigre Reserves and a 1-0 win at San Lorenzo de Almagro Reserves, before a 0-0 draw with Velez Sarsfield Reserves. Their last five results: L, L, W, W, D. Banfield Reserves, on the other hand, are struggling: a 1-1 draw with Atletico Tucuman Reserves was preceded by three consecutive losses (1-2 vs CA Lanus Reserves, 0-3 vs Godoy Cruz Reserves, 1-2 vs Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Reserves) and a lone 2-0 win over CA Barracas Central Reserves. Their form reads D, L, L, L, W.

Head-to-Head Record

In three previous meetings, Union Santa Fe Reserves have yet to win, with two draws and one Banfield Reserves victory. The most recent clash on May 7, 2026, ended 1-1. Banfield Reserves won 2-1 in September 2025, while the April 2025 fixture finished 0-0. Banfield Reserves hold a slight historical edge.

Win Probability: Union Santa Fe Reserves or Banfield Reserves?

Based on bookmaker odds (home 2.30, draw 3.10, away 2.80), the implied probabilities are 39% for a Union win, 29% for a draw, and 32% for a Banfield win. Adjusting for Union's home advantage and Banfield's poor recent form (three losses in four), we estimate Union Santa Fe Reserves have a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Banfield Reserves have a 25% chance. Union Santa Fe Reserves are the more likely winners.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer a home win at 2.30, a draw at 3.10, and an away win at 2.80. Another bookmaker prices the draw as low as 2.10 and Banfield at 4.20, indicating some disagreement. Our prediction: Union Santa Fe Reserves to win, but a draw is a realistic outcome. A 1-0 or 2-1 home victory is the most probable scoreline.