Alianza Universidad Huanuco - Universidad San Martin prediction 31 October 2026

This Universidad San Martin vs Alianza Universidad Huanuco prediction previews the Segunda Division clash on Oct 6, 2026, where a tight contest is expected. Based on head-to-head history and recent form, a draw is the most probable outcome, with Universidad San Martin holding a slight edge if a winner emerges.

Team Form

Universidad San Martin come into this match with mixed results: L, D, L, W, W in their last five. A heavy 7-0 defeat away to Carlos A. Mannucci was followed by a 2-2 home draw against Academia Deportiva Cantolao and a 1-0 loss at Union Comercio. They bounced back with two home wins — 2-0 over Universidad Cesar Vallejo and 3-1 over Asociacion Deportiva Agropecuaria — showing strength at home.

Alianza Universidad Huanuco's recent form reads D, D, D, L, W. They drew three consecutive matches: 2-2 at home with Bentin Tacna Heroica, 0-0 away at Escuela Municipal Deportivo Binacional, and 1-1 at home with Union Minas. A 3-0 loss at CD Estudiantil CNI was followed by a 1-0 home win over Bentin Tacna Heroica. The visitors have been hard to beat but struggle to turn draws into wins.

Head-to-Head Record

In 10 previous meetings, Universidad San Martin have won just once, Alianza Universidad Huanuco have won three times, and six matches ended in draws. The last four encounters all came in 2023: Alianza won 3-1 at home (Oct 15), San Martin lost 2-3 at home (Oct 10), a 2-2 draw (Jul 18), and a 2-0 away win for Alianza (Apr 23). The head-to-head record clearly favours the visitors and points to a high probability of a draw.

League Table Positions

Universidad San Martin sit 9th in the overall Segunda Division table with 24 points (7W, 3D, 6L), while Alianza Universidad Huanuco are 10th with 21 points (5W, 6D, 5L). At home, San Martin have collected 14 points from 8 games (4W, 2D, 2L, 13 goals scored, 6 conceded). Alianza's away record stands at 10 points from 8 matches (2W, 4D, 2L, 7 goals scored, 8 conceded). The home side has a slight edge in the standings, but the gap is narrow.

Win Probability: Universidad San Martin or Alianza Universidad Huanuco?

After analysing all available data, we calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: Universidad San Martin win – 35%, draw – 40%, Alianza Universidad Huanuco win – 25%. The draw is the single most likely result, driven by the head-to-head record (60% draws) and both teams' recent form full of stalemates. San Martin's home advantage and slightly better league position give them a higher win chance than the visitors, but Alianza's superior H2H record keeps them in contention.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds are not currently available for this fixture. Our Universidad San Martin vs Alianza Universidad Huanuco prediction is that a draw is the safest bet based on the stats. If you are looking for a winner, Universidad San Martin have a slight edge playing at home, but the most probable match outcome is a share of the points.