CFR Cluj - Universitatea Cluj prediction 28 October 2026

CFR Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj prediction for the Liga I match on Oct 8, 2026, at 18:30. Based on our analysis of odds, team form, and head-to-head record, CFR Cluj has a 48% chance of winning, while Universitatea Cluj has a 26% chance, with a 26% probability of a draw.

Team Form

CFR Cluj's last five results: W, L, D, W, W. They beat FC Botosani 3-1, lost 1-3 at Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe, drew 0-0 with FCV Farul Constanta, won 3-1 at Sepsi OSK in the Cup, and won 3-2 at Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc. That's three wins, one draw, one loss, with 10 goals scored and 7 conceded.

Universitatea Cluj's last five: W, W, L, W, L. They won 2-0 at Voluntari, beat Otelul Galati 3-0, lost 0-4 at CS Universitatea Craiova, beat Petrolul Ploiesti 1-0, and lost 2-3 to Petrolul Ploiesti. Three wins, two losses, 8 goals for, 7 against. Both sides show similar recent form, but CFR Cluj's home strength stands out.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last five meetings, CFR Cluj won three (1-0, 3-2, 1-0), Universitatea Cluj won one (2-1), and there was one 2-2 draw. Overall, across all competitions, CFR Cluj has 7 wins, 4 draws, and Universitatea Cluj has 6 wins. The historical edge slightly favors the home side.

League Table Positions

Universitatea Cluj sits 5th overall with 15 points (5 wins, 0 draws, 4 losses, 14 goals scored, 13 conceded). CFR Cluj is 7th with 13 points (4 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses, 15 goals scored, 14 conceded). However, at home, CFR Cluj is unbeaten: 3 wins, 1 draw, 9 goals for, only 1 conceded. Universitatea Cluj's away record is poor: 1 win, 3 losses, 3 goals scored, 7 conceded. This home/away gap is a key factor.

Win Probability: CFR Cluj or Universitatea Cluj?

We calculated probabilities using the inverse of the best available odds (home 2.48, draw 3.60, away 2.84), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin. The raw implied chances were 39% home, 27% draw, 34% away. Adjusting for CFR Cluj's dominant home form (unbeaten, 9-1 goals) and Universitatea Cluj's away struggles (1 win in 4, -4 goal difference), we shifted the probabilities. The head-to-head record also favors CFR Cluj. The final outcome: CFR Cluj has a 48% chance of winning, the draw is at 26%, and Universitatea Cluj has a 26% chance. CFR Cluj is the clear favorite.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds (from one provider): CFR Cluj win at 2.48, draw at 3.60, Universitatea Cluj win at 2.84. The market sees a tight contest but gives the edge to the home team. Based on the stats, CFR Cluj's strong home defense and Universitatea Cluj's away fragility make a home win the most likely outcome. A low-scoring match is possible, but CFR Cluj should secure the three points.