Unterhaching - Schweinfurt 05 prediction 2 October 2026

Our Unterhaching vs Schweinfurt 05 prediction for the Regionalliga match on Oct 2 at 18:00 is that Unterhaching are the clear favorites with a 61% win probability. The home side enters this fixture in strong form, while Schweinfurt 05 have struggled for results recently. Bookmakers also heavily favor Unterhaching, making them the team most likely to take all three points.

Team Form

Unterhaching are unbeaten in their last five matches, with two wins and three draws. Their recent results include a 2-2 draw against TSV Buchbach, a 1-1 stalemate with VfB Eichstatt, and a 2-0 away victory at Bayreuth. They also beat Aubstadt 3-2 and drew 0-0 with FC Memmingen. This consistent run shows defensive solidity and an ability to grind out results.

Schweinfurt 05, on the other hand, have managed just two draws and three losses in their last five outings. They were beaten 0-3 at home by FV Illertissen, lost 2-4 to Erzgebirge Aue, and fell 2-3 at TSV Havelse. Their only positive notes were a 1-1 friendly draw with BSG Chemie Leipzig and a 1-1 home draw against 1860 Munchen. The away side’s form is a major concern heading into this clash.

Head-to-Head Record

The last five meetings between these sides show a slight edge for Schweinfurt 05, who have won three times. Unterhaching have one win and there has been one draw. The most recent encounter on May 26, 2023, ended in a 2-1 home win for Schweinfurt 05. However, Unterhaching’s sole victory in this sequence came at home on Oct 29, 2022, a thrilling 4-3 result. Historically, Schweinfurt 05 have had the upper hand, but home advantage could tip the balance.

Win Probability: Unterhaching or Schweinfurt 05?

Based on the odds and recent form, Unterhaching has a 61% chance of winning, the draw is at 21%, and Schweinfurt 05 has an 18% chance. These probabilities are derived from the inverse of the bookmaker odds, normalized to remove the margin, and then adjusted for team form. Unterhaching’s unbeaten run and home advantage outweigh Schweinfurt 05’s superior head-to-head record. The data strongly points to a home win as the most likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre-match odds are: Unterhaching win 1.49, draw 4.25, Schweinfurt 05 win 5.10. Bookmakers see Unterhaching as the clear favorite. Our match prediction aligns with the odds: based on the stats, Unterhaching are the team to back. A home win is the most probable result, and the value lies with the 1.49 odds. Schweinfurt 05’s poor form makes an away victory unlikely.