URA FC - Entebbe prediction 15 October 2026
URA FC
Entebbe
Blacks Power/Bukedea TCURA FCURA FCEntebbeURA FCKampala Capital City AuthorityNEC BugolobiURA FCURA FCSC VillaMaroonsURA FCBuhimba United Saints FCURA FCURA FCKampala Capital City AuthoritySC VillaURA FCURA FCCalvary FCVipers SCURA FCURA FCSC VillaURA FCSC VillaURA FCMaroonsUPDF FCURA FCKigezi Homeboys (Kabale Sharp)EntebbeURA FCEntebbeEntebbeUganda PoliceMbarara City FCEntebbeEntebbeLugazi MunicipalEntebbeUPDF FCVipers SCEntebbeKitara FCEntebbeEntebbeBul FCUganda PoliceEntebbeMaroonsEntebbeEntebbeUPDF FCEntebbeCalvary FCVipers SCEntebbeEntebbeKampala Capital City AuthorityURA FCEntebbeEntebbeURA FCURA FCEntebbe| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bul FC | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 |  SC Villa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16:3 | +13 | 17 |
| 3 |  NEC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:4 | +8 | 14 |
| 4 | Entebbe | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:2 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  Blacks Power/Bukedea TC | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 |  Vipers SC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:2 | +11 | 11 |
| 7 |  Maroons | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:8 | +5 | 10 |
| 8 |  Kampala Capital City Authority | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  Kitara FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  UPDF FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Lugazi Municipal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Police | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |  Express FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 |  Mbarara City FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | URA FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Ntugasaze | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:13 | -10 | 3 |
| 17 |  Kataka FC | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:17 | -13 | 2 |
| 18 |  Kigezi Homeboys (Kabale Sharp) | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
URA FC vs Entebbe Prediction (Oct 15)
The URA FC vs Entebbe prediction points to an away win for this Uganda Premier League clash on 15th October 2026 at 17:00 local time. Based on the odds and recent performances, Entebbe is the favorite with a 40% win probability, while URA FC faces an uphill battle at home.
Team Form
URA FCโs last five matches show inconsistent results: two wins and three losses (L, L, L, W, W). Their home form is particularly worrying โ they lost 0-1 to Kampala Capital City Authority and 0-1 to SC Villa in their most recent home fixtures. The only wins in this sequence came on the road, beating Maroons 2-1 and Buhimba United Saints FC 3-0.
Entebbe comes into this match in much better shape. Their last five results read W, D, L, W, W โ three wins, one draw, and only one loss. They recorded a comfortable 3-0 home win against Uganda Police on 9th October and have lost only once in their last five outings. Away from home, they drew 0-0 at Mbarara City FC and beat Vipers SC 1-0, showing solid defensive organisation on the road.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record between these two sides is limited but points towards Entebbe. In two previous meetings, Entebbe has one win and one draw, while URA FC has yet to win. The most recent encounter took place on 13th January 2026 at this same venue โ URA FC lost 0-1. The earlier fixture on 7th March 2026 ended goalless at Entebbeโs ground.
League Table Positions
Entebbe sits 4th in the Uganda Premier League table with 10 points from 5 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), scoring 6 goals and conceding only 2. Their defensive record is one of the best in the league. URA FC, on the other hand, is not among the top 12 teams in the published standings โ a clear indicator of their struggle so far this season.
Win Probability: URA FC or Entebbe?
After applying the inverse odds method and stripping out the bookmaker margin, the raw probabilities are approximately 31.2% for a URA FC win, 32.1% for a draw, and 36.7% for an Entebbe victory. However, factoring in the current form, head-to-head record, and league positioning, we adjust these figures to: URA FC 30%, draw 30%, Entebbe 40%.
Entebbeโs strong recent run, combined with URA FCโs poor home form and the historical H2H favouring the visitors, tilts the balance. The home advantage does narrow the gap, but Entebbe remains the more likely winner.
Odds & Match Prediction
The latest prematch odds from bookmakers are: URA FC 2.88, draw 2.80, Entebbe 2.45. These prices clearly indicate that the market sees Entebbe as the favourite. Based on the stats and probability analysis, our URA FC vs Entebbe prediction is an away win. Entebbeโs consistent performances and URA FCโs struggles at home make the away side the strongest pick in this fixture.
URA FC vs Entebbe โ FAQ
- Who will win URA FC vs Entebbe?
- Entebbe is the most likely winner with a 40% probability. URA FC has a 30% chance, and the draw also stands at 30%.
- What is the win probability for Entebbe?
- Entebbe has a 40% win probability. This higher chance is driven by their superior recent form (three wins in five), a better league position (4th), and a head-to-head record that includes a 1-0 win at URA FC's ground earlier this year.
- When is the URA FC vs Entebbe match?
- The match takes place on 15th October 2026 at 17:00 local time (GMT+1). It is a Uganda Premier League fixture hosted at URA FC's stadium.
- What are the odds for URA FC vs Entebbe?
- The full-time 1X2 betting odds are: URA FC to win 2.88, draw 2.80, and Entebbe to win 2.45. These odds show Entebbe as the clear favorite in the market.
- What is the head-to-head record between URA FC and Entebbe?
- In two previous meetings, Entebbe has won once and drawn once. URA FC has never beaten Entebbe. The last match at URA FC ended 0-1 in Entebbe's favour on 13th January 2026.