Urartu Banants Yerevan FC - Andranik prediction 27 October 2026

Our Urartu Banants Yerevan FC vs Andranik prediction for the Armenian Cup clash on October 27, 2026, points to a home win with a 71% probability. Bookmakers see Urartu as the heavy favorite, but Andranik’s perfect winning streak in the 1 Division adds intrigue.

Team Form

Urartu Banants Yerevan FC enter this cup tie with mixed Premier League results. In their last five outings, they have recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss. The sequence reads: a 0-0 draw at Sardarapat FC, a dominant 5-2 home victory over Van Charentsavan, a 2-2 home stalemate with Ararat Yerevan, an impressive 3-0 away win at Gandzasar Kapan, and a 0-3 home defeat to FC Noah. That shows inconsistency, but they remain capable of scoring heavily on their day.

Andranik, by contrast, are flying high in the 1 Division. They have won their last five matches in a row. Their recent form includes a 2-1 away win against Urartu Banants Yerevan 2, a 2-1 home success over Mika, a 4-1 demolition of Ararat-Armenia FC II away, a 3-1 home defeat of Pyunik Yerevan 2, and a 4-0 thrashing of Ararat Yerevan II on the road. All five victories underline Andranik’s excellent attacking form, though it must be noted this run has come against lower-tier opposition.

Head-to-Head Record

The two sides met twice in the Cup earlier in 2026. Urartu hold the upper hand with one win and one draw from those encounters. On April 29, Urartu edged a 1-0 home victory. Two weeks earlier, on April 15, Andranik held them to a 1-1 draw at home. Across both meetings, Urartu have never lost to Andranik, and that H2H record (1-1-0) supports the pre-match favorite tag.

League Table Positions

No official league table data is available. However, the teams compete in different divisions: Urartu feature in the Armenian Premier League, while Andranik play in the 1 Division. This gap in competition level is a key factor behind the odds and probability calculations.

Win Probability: Urartu Banants Yerevan FC or Andranik?

Based on the latest odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and the home advantage, we calculate the win probability as follows: Urartu Banants Yerevan FC has a 71% chance of winning, the draw is at 18%, and Andranik has an 11% chance. These numbers are derived from the bookmaker odds (1.34 home, 5.35 draw, 9.33 away), with the implied probabilities normalized to remove the margin. The home team’s superior division status and unbeaten H2H give them a clear edge, but Andranik’s five-match winning run — even against weaker opponents — prevents the probability from being even higher for Urartu.

Odds & Match Prediction

The most representative pre-match odds show Urartu at 1.34 to win, a draw at 5.35, and an Andranik victory at 9.33. These prices confirm that bookmakers see the hosts as strong favorites, with the gap in league quality playing a decisive role.

Our final Urartu Banants Yerevan FC vs Andranik prediction: a home win is the most likely outcome, but based on the stats, the risk of a draw cannot be completely ruled out given Urartu’s patchy Premier League form. The probability model strongly favors the Premier League side, and a bet on Urartu to win offers the most value.