Urawa Red Diamonds Women - Nippon Tokyo Verdy Beleza Women prediction 3 October 2026

Urawa Red Diamonds Women vs Nippon Tokyo Verdy Beleza Women prediction for the WE League Women match on Oct 3, 2026, at 06:00. Our win probability model gives Urawa Red Diamonds Women a 45% chance of winning, a draw 30%, and Nippon Tokyo Verdy Beleza Women 25%. Home form and a dominant head-to-head record point towards a home victory.

Team Form

Urawa Red Diamonds Women come into this match with mixed recent results: a draw (1-1 away to Albirex Niigata Women on Sep 27), a win (2-0 at home to Parceiro Nagano Women on Sep 23), two losses (1-2 home to Omiya Ardija Vetus Women, 2-3 away at Jef United Ichihara Chiba Women) and a win (3-1 home against this opponent on Sep 5). That’s two wins, two losses and one draw in the last five outings.

Nippon Tokyo Verdy Beleza Women’s last five show a similiar pattern: a convincing 4-1 away win at Cerezo Osaka Women (Sep 27), a 1-3 home loss to Albirex Niigata Women (Sep 23), a 1-0 away win at Elfen Saitama Women (Sep 19), a 3-2 home win over INAC Leonessa Women (Sep 12) and the 1-3 away defeat at Urawa on Sep 5. They have three wins and two defeats, scoring seven goals and conceding five across those matches.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head heavily favours the home side. In the last four meetings, Urawa Red Diammonds Women have won three and drawn one, with no victory for Nippon Tokyo Verdy Beleza Women. The latest clash was just a month ago – on Sep 5, 2026, Urawa defeated Nippon 3-1 at this same stadium. Previous results: a 1-0 home win (May 10, 2026), a 1-0 away win (Aug 24, 2025) and a 1-1 draw (Apr 16, 2025).

League Table Positions

Urawa Red Diamonds Women sit top of the WE League Women table with a perfect record: 3 wins from 3 matches, 9 points, 9 goals scored and only 2 conceded. At home they have 2 wins (8 goals for, 2 against). Nippon Tokyo Verdy Beleza Women are second with 2 wins and 1 loss, 6 points, 7 goals scored, 5 conceded. Away from home they have played 2 games, winning one (5-4 aggregate). The gap at the top is just 3 points, but Urawa’s 100% start and superior goal difference underline their early-season dominance.

Win Probability: Urawa Red Diamonds Women or Nippon Tokyo Verdy Beleza Women?

We calculate win probabilities by first stripping out the bookmaker margin from the average odds (home 3.00, draw 2.30, away 2.50–2.75) to obtain fair implied chances. The raw figure gives a draw-favoured picture: Urawa win 29%, draw 38%, Nippon win 33%. However, factoring in the strong home form, the 3-0-0 H2H record (with a 3-1 win just weeks ago), and Urawa’s perfect league start, we adjust heavily in favour of the hosts. Our final assessment gives:

• Urawa Red Diamonds Women win: 45%
• Draw: 30%
• Nippon Tokyo Verdy Beleza Women win: 25%

Based on all available stats, Urawa Red Diamonds Women are the most likely winners. Their home advantage and historical edge make a home victory the single most probable outcome, though a draw cannot be ruled out.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer a home win at around 3.00, the draw at 2.30 and an away win between 2.50 and 2.75. This indicates the market sees the fixture as open, but our model lines up with the value on the home side. The head-to-head record (3W-1D-0L) and Urawa’s 100% home record this season suggest a home win is likely. Our prediction: Urawa Red Diamonds Women to win, with a correct-score bet of 2-1 or 2-0 carrying appeal based on previous meetings. Always check the latest odds and betting tips before placing any wager.