US Pergolettese U19 - ASD Alcione U19 prediction 3 October 2026
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Our US Pergolettese U19 vs ASD Alcione U19 prediction for the Campionato Primavera 3 U19 match on Oct 3 at 14:00 sees ASD Alcione U19 as the clear favorite with a 45% win probability. The bookmakers' odds and recent head-to-head results strongly point towards an away victory, but US Pergolettese U19 will hope home advantage can turn their poor form around.
Team Form
US Pergolettese U19 come into this fixture on a worrying run. Their last five results read L, L, W, D, D, with the two most recent outings both defeats. A 0-6 home thrashing by Carrarese U19 on Sep 19 exposed serious defensive frailties, while a 2-1 loss at Lumezzane U19 on Sep 26 continued the slide. The only win in that sequence was a 2-1 friendly victory over Cremonese U20 back in June.
ASD Alcione U19's form is mixed but more encouraging: D, W, L, L, W. They drew 2-2 at Carrarese U19 on Sep 26 and beat Torres U19 4-2 at home on Sep 19. Earlier in the year they suffered back-to-back defeats to Pro Patria U19, but crucially they demolished US Pergolettese U19 4-0 in their most recent meeting in April.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record between these two sides spans three matches, with ASD Alcione U19 holding a 2-1 advantage. The most recent clash on Apr 18, 2026, ended in a 4-0 home rout for Alcione, and they also won 3-1 away on Apr 11, 2026. US Pergolettese U19's sole victory came at home on Dec 6, 2025, when they edged a 2-1 win. There have been no draws in this fixture.
Win Probability: US Pergolettese U19 or ASD Alcione U19?
Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities: US Pergolettese U19 30%, draw 25%, ASD Alcione U19 45%. The bookmakers' implied probabilities (after removing the margin) gave Alcione a 41.8% chance, but their dominant H2H record and Pergolettese's recent defensive collapses push the away win probability higher. Home advantage is offset by Pergolettese's 0-6 loss in their last home game. In conclusion, ASD Alcione U19 is the more likely winner.
Odds & Match Prediction
The current 1X2 odds are: US Pergolettese U19 2.70, draw 3.60, ASD Alcione U19 2.15. Bookmakers clearly see the away side as the favorite. Based on the stats, our US Pergolettese U19 vs ASD Alcione U19 prediction is an away win for Alcione. Their superior form in this fixture and Pergolettese's leaky defence make the 2.15 odds an attractive betting tip.
US Pergolettese U19 vs ASD Alcione U19 โ FAQ
- Who will win US Pergolettese U19 vs ASD Alcione U19?
- ASD Alcione U19 has a 45% chance of winning, US Pergolettese U19 has a 30% chance, and the draw is at 25%. Alcione's strong head-to-head record and better recent form make them the most likely winner.
- What is the win probability for ASD Alcione U19?
- ASD Alcione U19 has a 45% win probability. This is based on their two consecutive wins over US Pergolettese U19, including a 4-0 victory, and the home side's poor defensive form.
- When is the US Pergolettese U19 vs ASD Alcione U19 match?
- The match is on Oct 3, 2026, at 14:00 local time. It is a Campionato Primavera 3 U19 fixture in Italy.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The 1X2 odds are: US Pergolettese U19 2.70, draw 3.60, ASD Alcione U19 2.15. The away team is the bookmakers' favorite.
- What is the head-to-head record between US Pergolettese U19 and ASD Alcione U19?
- In three meetings, ASD Alcione U19 has won twice and US Pergolettese U19 once. The most recent result was a 4-0 home win for Alcione on Apr 18, 2026.