Lucan United FC - Usher Celtic prediction 21 May 2026

The Usher Celtic vs Lucan United FC prediction covers the Leinster Senior League fixture on May 21, 2026. Bookmakers’ data was limited, but our analysis of team form and head-to-head records points to Lucan United as the favourite, with a 40% probability of winning.

Team Form

Usher Celtic enter the match in poor shape. Their last five outings have produced three draws and two defeats: a 1-1 home draw with St Mochtas, a 3-3 draw away at Bangor Celtic, a 1-1 home draw with Saint Francis, a 6-1 away loss to Lucan United, and a 3-0 defeat at Malahide Utd. The sequence (D-D-D-L-L) highlights a lack of wins and defensive frailties, conceding multiple goals in both losses.

Lucan United’s recent form is mixed but slightly better. In their last five away matches, they recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats: a 6-1 home victory over Usher Celtic, a 3-0 loss at home to Kilbarrack United, a 4-2 defeat at home to Saint Francis, a 2-1 away win at Tolka Rovers, and a 0-0 draw at St Mochtas. The win over Usher Celtic shows they can be devastating on their day, though defensive lapses appear in other results.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head between these two sides is evenly poised with two wins apiece. The most recent meeting, on May 21, 2026, saw Lucan United triumph 6-1 away from home. On January 16, 2026, Lucan United won 5-1 away. Usher Celtic’s victories came earlier: a 2-1 home win on May 2, 2025, and a 3-0 away victory in the FAI Cup on April 10, 2022. Recent clashes clearly favour Lucan United, who have outscored Usher Celtic 11-2 in the last two encounters.

Win Probability: Usher Celtic or Lucan United?

This is the most important section of our prediction. Based purely on the available data (recent form, head-to-head trends, and home/away factors), we assign the following win probabilities:

• Usher Celtic win: 25%
• Draw: 35%
• Lucan United win: 40%

The reasoning is straightforward. Usher Celtic have failed to win any of their last five matches, and even at home they only drew with mid-table sides. Lucan United’s away form (2 wins in 5) and their 6-1 demolition of Usher Celtic in the reverse fixture give them the edge. However, Usher Celtic’s tendency to draw (3 of the last 5) keeps the draw probability high. Overall, Lucan United are the more likely winners, but not overwhelmingly so.

Odds & Match Prediction

No 1X2 odds were available from bookmakers for this match. In such cases, our prediction relies entirely on statistical indicators. Based on form and H2H, a Lucan United win is the most probable outcome, with a 40% chance. A draw at 35% is the next most likely result, while an Usher Celtic victory is an outside bet at 25%.