Arsenal Ceska Lipa - Usti nad Labem prediction 2 October 2026

Arsenal Ceska Lipa vs Usti nad Labem prediction: Usti nad Labem enters this Friendly Clubs match on October 2, 2026, as the clear favorite with a 50% win probability. The visitors' dominant head-to-head record and stronger recent form give them a significant edge.

Team Form

Arsenal Ceska Lipa's recent form has been inconsistent. In their last five matches, they recorded two wins, two losses, and one draw. They suffered a 2-1 defeat to Opava on September 18, followed by a goalless draw at home against Prostejov on September 12. A 2-0 loss at Vysocina Jihlava on September 4 was followed by a 2-1 home win over Graffin Vlasim on August 29. Their best result came on August 23 with a 1-0 away victory at Banik Ostrava II.

Usti nad Labem have been more stable, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five outings. They claimed a 2-0 away win at Banik Ostrava II on September 20, but lost 1-2 at home to Vysocina Jihlava on September 11. A 1-1 home draw with Slavia Praha B on September 4 was followed by a 1-0 away win at MAS Taborsko on August 29. In the Cup, they drew 0-0 at Varnsdorf on August 25.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Usti nad Labem. In four previous meetings, Usti nad Labem has won three times and drawn once. Arsenal Ceska Lipa has never beaten Usti nad Labem. The most recent encounter ended in a 3-3 draw on August 7, 2026, in the FNL. Before that, Usti nad Labem won 3-1 away on March 15, 2025, 1-0 away on September 15, 2023, and 4-0 at home in a friendly on July 26, 2023. Usti nad Labem has scored 11 goals in these four matches, conceding only 4.

Win Probability: Arsenal Ceska Lipa or Usti nad Labem?

Based on the available data, Usti nad Labem is the clear favorite to win this match. The calculated win probabilities are:

• Arsenal Ceska Lipa: 25%
• Draw: 25%
• Usti nad Labem: 50%

These probabilities are derived from the betting odds (implied probabilities averaged from two bookmakers), adjusted for the dominant head-to-head record and recent form. The odds implied an away win probability of around 44%, but Usti nad Labem's historical superiority and current form push that figure higher. Arsenal Ceska Lipa's home advantage is not enough to offset the trend.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds reflect the visitors' strength. One bookmaker offers 2.65 for a home win, 2.65 for a draw, and 2.45 for an away win. Another prices Usti nad Labem as short as 1.67 to win, with the home win at 3.25 and the draw at 4.75. The disparity shows a strong market belief in an away victory.

Our match prediction: based on the stats, head-to-head dominance, and current form, Usti nad Labem is the most likely winner. A bet on the away win offers value, but the draw cannot be ruled out given the teams' recent stalemate. Arsenal Ceska Lipa will need a significant improvement to break their winless run against this opponent.