KFUM Oslo - Valerenga prediction 12 October 2026
KFUM Oslo
Valerenga
KristiansundKFUM OsloTromsoKFUM OsloKFUM OsloValerengaHonefoss BKKFUM OsloSarpsborg 08KFUM OsloKFUM OsloAalesundMoldeKFUM OsloIK StartKFUM OsloReadyKFUM OsloKFUM OsloLillestromSandefjordKFUM OsloKFUM OsloKristiansundKFUM OsloMoldeLillestromKFUM OsloKFUM OsloBodo/GlimtBodo/GlimtValerengaValerengaBrannKFUM OsloValerengaValerengaFredrikstadSkeidValerengaLillestromValerengaSarpsborg 08ValerengaValerengaMoldeChristiania BKValerengaAalesundValerengaValerengaBodo/GlimtValerengaHam-KamBrannValerengaValerengaAalesundTromsoValerengaKFUM OsloValerengaValerengaKFUM OsloValerengaKFUM OsloValerengaKFUM OsloKFUM OsloValerenga| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 24 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 62:23 | +39 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodo/Glimt | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 58:21 | +37 | 56 |
| 3 |  Molde | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 57:36 | +21 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 46:31 | +15 | 40 |
| 5 |  Tromso | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 43:34 | +9 | 40 |
| 6 |  Lillestrom | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 35:33 | +2 | 39 |
| 7 |  Sarpsborg 08 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 30:35 | -5 | 31 |
| 8 | KFUM Oslo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 30:39 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 |  Brann | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 42:40 | +2 | 29 |
| 10 | Valerenga | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 39:46 | -7 | 29 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 29:41 | -12 | 29 |
| 12 |  Ham-Kam | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 33:51 | -18 | 26 |
| 13 |  Sandefjord | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 22:31 | -9 | 24 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 40:53 | -13 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 25:49 | -24 | 20 |
| 16 |  IK Start | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 26:54 | -28 | 19 |
KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga Prediction (Oct 12)
If you're looking for a KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga prediction, this Eliteserien match on Oct 12 at 18:00 will see KFUM Oslo host Valerenga at KFUM Arena. Based on our analysis, a draw is the most likely outcome (40% probability), with Valerenga slightly favoured over the home side (32% vs 28%).
Team Form
KFUM Oslo come into this match with three wins and two losses in their last five. They beat Honefoss BK 2-0 away in the Cup, Sarpsborg 08 3-1 away, and Aalesund 2-1 at home, before losing 2-0 at Molde and 4-1 at IK Start. At home this season, their record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses, with 13 goals scored and 13 conceded.
Valerenga's last five results show one win, two draws, and two defeats. They drew 1-1 at home to Fredrikstad, won 4-1 at Skeid in the Cup, lost 2-0 at Lillestrom, drew 2-2 at Sarpsborg 08, and lost 4-3 at home to Molde. Away from home, they have one win, one draw, and one loss in their most recent three road league games.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record heavily favours Valerenga. In four previous meetings, KFUM Oslo have never won โ Valerenga lead with two wins and two draws. The most recent Eliteserien encounter on May 3, 2026 ended 2-2 at Valerenga's ground. The last time they met at KFUM Arena was on May 26, 2025, when Valerenga won 1-0.
League Table Positions
In the Eliteserien standings, KFUM Oslo sit 10th with 25 points from 21 matches (7 wins, 4 draws, 10 losses). They have scored 25 goals and conceded 35. Valerenga are 12th with 23 points from 21 games (6 wins,,5 draws, 10 losses), scoring 34 and conceding 43. At home, KFUM Oslo rank 8th, while Valerenga's away record does not appear in the top eight of the away table. The table suggests a close contest.
Win Probability: KFUM Oslo or Valerenga?
We calculated the outcome probabilities by starting with the average bookmaker odds (home 2.98, draw 2.42, away 2.44), normalising to remove the margin, and adjusting for recent form and headโtoโhead dominance:
- KFUM Oslo win: 28%
- Draw: 40%
- Valerenga win: 32%
A draw is the most likely result, reflecting Valerengaโs unbeaten H2H record and the home side's moderate form. Despite sitting lower in the table, Valerenga's historical edge gives them a slight advantage over KFUM Oslo for the win.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmaker odds for this fixture are tight. A typical set from the data is: KFUM Oslo win at 2.90, draw at 2.45, and Valerenga win at 2.62. These odds imply a closely balanced match, with the draw as the shortest price.. Our final prediction: based on the stats, a stalemate is the most probable outcome. Valerenga are the more likely winner if one side emerges victorious, but a draw looks the best value at odds of around 2.45.
KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga โ FAQ
- Who will win KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga?
- According to our win probability model, a draw is the most likely result at 40%., Valerenga have a 32% chance of winning, and KFUM Oslo a 28% chance.. This is based on averaged bookmaker odds, H2H (where Valerenga are unbeaten in four meetings), and current form.
- What is the win probability for Valerenga?
- Valerenga have a 32% probability of winning this match. The odds imply they are slight favorites over KFUM Oslo (28%)), bolstered by a historical record of two wins and two draws in four encounters with KFUM Oslo.
- When is the KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga match?
- The match takes place on Oct 12, 2026 at 18:00 local time.. It is an Eliteserien fixture held at KFUM Arena in Oslo, with a capacity of 1,500.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Bookmakers show odds of around 2.90 for a KFUM Oslo win, 2.45 for a draw,, and 2.62 for a Valerenga away win.. Different bookies may offer slight variations, but these are the average figures from the available data.
- What is the head-to-head record between these teams?
- In four previous meetings across all competitions, KFUM Oslo have never beaten Valerenga.. Valerenga have two wins and two draws, including a 1-0 victory at KFUM Arena in the Eliteserien on May 26, 2025.