Valerenga Women vs Feyenoord Women prediction for the Europa Cup Women second leg on September 30, 2026, at 17:00. Our analysis gives Valerenga Women a 50% chance to win, with a draw at 30% and Feyenoord Women at 20%. The home side are clear favorites to win the match, though they must overturn a 4-1 first-leg deficit.
Valerenga Women are in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches. Their recent results:
They scored 20 goals in these five games, showcasing a potent attack. At home, they have won their last two matches by a combined 9-2 scoreline.
Feyenoord Women have been inconsistent, with two wins and three losses in their last five outings:
They conceded 14 goals in these matches, highlighting defensive issues, especially away from home where they lost 4-0 and 0-6 in two of their last three road games.
The only previous meeting between these sides was the first leg on September 23, 2026. Feyenoord Women won 4-1 at home. Valerenga Women now need a win by at least three goals to level the tie on aggregate.
Based on bookmaker odds, recent form, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities:
Valerenga Women are the more likely winners. Their strong attacking form and home record outweigh Feyenoord's head-to-head win. The adjustment reflects Valerenga's four wins in five compared to Feyenoord's two wins, and the home advantage in European ties. The draw probability of 30% accounts for the possibility that Feyenoord may play defensively to protect their aggregate lead. Feyenoord's defensive vulnerabilities on the road further reduce their chances of a positive result.
Bookmakersโ odds for this match range from 1.67 to 1.82 for a Valerenga Women home win, with the draw around 2.40โ4.33 and an away win at 3.50โ4.23. The selected market shows home win 1.82, draw 2.42, away win 3.50. These odds imply a home win probability of about 44% before adjustments. Our analysis, which factors in Valerengaโs superior recent performances, raises that to 50%.
Our Valerenga Women vs Feyenoord Women prediction: a home win is the most likely outcome. For betting tips, backing Valerenga Women to win offers value based on the stats. The match outcome is likely a Valerenga victory, but a draw cannot be discounted given the tie situation.