Molde Women - Valerenga Women prediction 26 September 2026

Molde Women vs Valerenga Women prediction for this Toppserien Women fixture on Sep 26 at 12:00 points toward a strong away win. Based on our data analysis, Valerenga Women enters as the clear favorite with a 55% win probability, while the draw stands at 20% and a home victory for Molde Women at 25%.

Team Form

Molde Women’s recent results are mixed, with the sequence L, L, W, D, W in their last five matches. They fell 4-1 away to Fortuna Alesund Women on Sep 20 and lost 0-1 at home to Honefoss BK Women on Sep 13. Prior to that, they earned a 1-0 home win over Lillestrom SK Kvinner Women, a 1-1 draw at Roa Women, and a 2-1 away win against Bodo Glimt Women.

Valerenga Women, in contrast, have been flawless in their last five outings with five straight wins. They beat Haugesund Women 2-1 at home on Sep 17, smashed Roa Women 6-3 away on Sep 11, and posted two Europa Cup Women victories over Radomlje Women (7-1 at home and 2-0 away) along with a 2-1 home success against Honefoss BK Women.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record is minimal, with only one previous meeting this season. On May 15, Molde Women traveled to Valerenga Women and secured a 2-1 away win in Toppserien Women. That result gives Molde a psychological edge, but the sample is too small to outweigh current form and league standings.

League Table Positions

Valerenga Women sit 4th in the Toppserien Women standings with 31 points from 16 matches (10W-1D-5L), scoring 41 goals and conceding 24. Molde Women occupy 7th place with 18 points (5W-3D-8L), a goal difference of 23:29. The away/home split further favors the visitors: Valerenga’s away record is 4-1-2 with 19 goals scored, while Molde’s home record is just 2-2-4 with 12 goals scored and 15 conceded.

Win Probability: Molde Women or Valerenga Women?

We calculate the outcome probabilities using league position, home/away records, and recent form. The analysis gives Valerenga Women a 55% chance of winning, a draw a 20% probability, and Molde Women a 25% chance. The visitors’ perfect five-match winning streak and superior away statistics drive the high away win percentage. Molde’s single H2H win and home-field advantage keep their chances at a respectable 25%, but the form gap makes a home upset unlikely.

Odds & Match Prediction

No pre-match odds are available in the data for this fixture. Nevertheless, the statistical edge clearly belongs to Valerenga Women. Based on the form, league table positions, and the teams’ respective home/away performances, the prediction is an away win. The most probable outcome leans toward Valerenga Women claiming all three points, with a possible scoreline reflecting their attacking output (2.5 goals per game away from home) against a Molde defense that has leaked 15 goals in 8 home matches.