Vancouver FC - Inter Toronto York 9 FC prediction 24 September 2026

Vancouver FC vs Inter Toronto York 9 FC prediction: this Canadian Premier League match kicks off on Sep 24, 2026, at 03:00. Based on odds, home form, and the H2H record, Vancouver FC are the favorites with a 55% win probability, while Inter Toronto York 9 FC have a 20% chance and the draw sits at 25%.

Team Form

Vancouver FC come into this fixture with mixed recent results: D, L, W, L, L in their last five outings. Their only win in that run was a 3-2 home victory over Supra du Quebec on Sep 6, 2026. A 1-1 draw at Pacific FC and defeats against Inter Toronto York 9 FC, Cavalry, and Halifax Wanderers show inconsistency on the road.

Inter Toronto York 9 FC have also struggled for consistency, posting L, W, D, D, L in their last five matches. They beat Vancouver FC 3-1 on Sep 13, 2026, drew 3-3 with Pacific FC and 1-1 with Forge FC Hamilton, but lost 4-1 to Halifax Wanderers and 2-1 to Atletico Ottawa. Their away record is a concern: only 1 win, 5 draws, and 5 losses in 11 away league matches.

Head-to-Head Record

• Sep 13, 2026: Inter Toronto York 9 FC 3-1 Vancouver FC
• Jul 5, 2026: Vancouver FC 4-0 Inter Toronto York 9 FC

The two meetings have produced one home win each, with no draws. Notably, Vancouver FC’s 4-0 win came at home, which is where this upcoming match will be played.

League Table Positions

Vancouver FC sit 4th in the Canadian Premier League with 31 points from 23 matches (9W 4D 10L). Inter Toronto York 9 FC are 7th with 23 points from 21 matches (5W 8D 8L). At home, Vancouver FC rank 4th with 20 points from 11 games, while Inter Toronto York 9 FC have only 8 points from 11 away games — the seventh-best away record in the league.

Win Probability: Vancouver FC or Inter Toronto York 9 FC?

Our model, based on the bookmaker odds and adjusted for team form, H2H record, league table positions, and home/away factor, gives the following win probabilities:

• Vancouver FC win: 55%
• Draw: 25%
• Inter Toronto York 9 FC win: 20%

Vancouver FC has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Inter Toronto York 9 FC has a 20% chance. The home advantage is a key factor: Vancouver FC have won 6 of 11 home league games, while Inter Toronto York 9 FC have won only 1 of 11 away games. The H2H also points to the home side, with Vancouver FC winning their last home meeting 4-0.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Vancouver FC as the favorite. The available 1X2 odds range from 1.62 to 1.85 for a Vancouver FC win, 2.40 to 4.03 for the draw, and 3.56 to 4.35 for an Inter Toronto York 9 FC win.

Based on the stats, Vancouver FC are the most likely winners. A home win is the recommended betting tip, but the odds have shortened, so value may be limited. The draw and away win probabilities are lower, reflecting Inter Toronto York 9 FC’s poor away form and Vancouver FC’s solid home record.