Supra du Quebec - Vancouver FC prediction 10 October 2026

Our Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC prediction for the Canadian Premier League match on Oct 10, 2026, gives the home side a 45% chance of winning, a draw at 25%, and Vancouver FC a 30% chance. Bookmakers see Supra du Quebec as the favorite, but Vancouver FC's dominant head-to-head record suggests a closer contest.

Team Form

Supra du Quebec's last five matches: a 5-0 home win over Pacific FC, a 6-0 away loss to Cavalry, a 2-0 away win at Atletico Ottawa, a 2-0 home loss to Halifax Wanderers, and a 3-2 away loss to Vancouver FC. That's two wins and three defeats, showing inconsistency.

Vancouver FC's recent form: a 1-1 home draw with Forge FC, a 3-3 home draw with Inter Toronto York 9 FC, a 1-1 away draw at Pacific FC, a 3-1 away loss to Inter Toronto York 9 FC, and a 3-2 home win over Supra du Quebec. They have only one loss in five, with three draws and one win, indicating resilience.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met three times in the Canadian Premier League:

• Sep 6, 2026: Vancouver FC 3-2 Supra du Quebec
• Jul 18, 2026: Supra du Quebec 1-5 Vancouver FC
• May 23, 2026: Vancouver FC 1-1 Supra du Quebec

Vancouver FC leads with two wins and one draw. Supra du Quebec has yet to beat Vancouver FC, and the aggregate score is 9-4 in Vancouver's favor.

League Table Positions

In the overall Canadian Premier League standings, Vancouver FC sits 4th with 33 points from 25 games (9 wins, 6 draws, 10 losses). Supra du Quebec is 7th with 25 points from 23 matches (7 wins, 4 draws, 12 losses). At home, Supra du Quebec ranks 7th with 11 points from 11 games (3 wins, 2 draws, 6 losses). Vancouver FC's away form places them 6th with 11 points from 12 games (3 wins, 2 draws, 7 losses). Both sides have struggled for consistency in these situations.

Win Probability: Supra du Quebec or Vancouver FC?

Based on bookmaker odds (home 1.90, draw 3.50, away 3.25), the implied probabilities are 47% for a Supra du Quebec win, 26% for a draw, and 28% for a Vancouver FC victory. Adjusting for Vancouver's dominant head-to-head record and slightly better recent form, we estimate Supra du Quebec has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Vancouver FC has a 30% chance. Vancouver FC appears undervalued by the odds, but the home side remains the most likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer odds of 1.90 for a Supra du Quebec win, 3.50 for the draw, and 3.25 for an away victory. Our Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC prediction: while the stats point to a home advantage, Vancouver FC's strong H2H record (2 wins, 1 draw) makes them a tempting underdog. The most probable outcome is a narrow home win, but a draw or away win cannot be ruled out. For betting tips, Vancouver FC +0.5 or double chance X2 could offer value.