Sundby BK - Vanlose prediction 3 October 2026

Our Sundby BK vs Vanlose prediction for the 3rd Division match on October 3, 2026, at 13:00, sees Sundby BK as the narrow favorite with a 35% win probability. The draw is also highly likely at 35%, while Vanlose has a 30% chance of taking all three points.

Team Form

Sundby BK come into this match with a mixed run of results, recording three wins and two losses in their last five outings (W, W, L, L, W). In their last four league matches, they have won three and lost one, scoring 7 goals and conceding just 2. Their only home defeat in this sequence was a heavy 7-0 cup loss to Midtjylland, which is not indicative of their league form. At home in the league, Sundby BK are unbeaten this season with two wins and one draw.

Vanlose, on the other hand, are unbeaten in their last five matches (D, D, W, D, W). In the league, they have drawn 1-1 at home to Bronshoj and away to Hoersholm Usseroed IK, beaten Ishoej IF 1-0 at home, and won 2-1 at Holstebro. Over those four league games, they scored 5 goals and conceded 3. Vanlose have lost just once in nine league games this season, showing consistency and defensive solidity.

Head-to-Head Record

These two sides have met three times in recent history, with Sundby BK winning twice and Vanlose once. There have been no draws. Sundby BK won both home encounters: 1-0 in the league on April 6, 2026, and 3-2 in the Cup on September 2, 2025. Vanlose’s victory came at home, a convincing 3-0 league win on August 29, 2025. The head-to-head clearly favours the home team on each occasion.

League Table Positions

Vanlose sit 4th in the 3rd Division with 16 points from 9 matches (4 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss), just two points off the top. Sundby BK are 8th with 10 points (3 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses). However, the home and away splits tell a different story: Sundby BK are unbeaten at home (2 wins, 1 draw), while Vanlose have managed only one win in four away games (1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss). This contrast makes the match difficult to call.

Win Probability: Sundby BK or Vanlose?

Based on the odds, form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the following win probabilities: Sundby BK win – 35%, draw – 35%, Vanlose win – 30%. The bookmakers’ average odds imply a 31.2% chance for a home win, 39.0% for a draw, and 29.8% for an away win. We have adjusted these figures upward for Sundby BK due to their perfect home record against Vanlose and their unbeaten home league form this season. Vanlose’s overall consistency keeps them close, but their away record prevents them from being favourites. Therefore, Sundby BK has a slight edge, but a draw is equally probable.

Sundby BK vs Vanlose Prediction & Odds

The best available odds for this match are 2.92 for a Sundby BK win, 2.22 for the draw, and 2.92 for a Vanlose win. Bookmakers clearly see the draw as the most likely outcome. Our prediction aligns with the stats: Sundby BK’s home strength and H2H dominance suggest they can avoid defeat, but Vanlose’s resilience makes a stalemate a very realistic result. We lean towards a draw or a narrow home win. Based on the data, the safest betting tip is the double chance 1X (Sundby BK or draw). In summary, this Sundby BK vs Vanlose prediction points to a tight affair where the hosts hold a marginal advantage.