Norrby IF - Varbergs BoIS prediction 14 September 2026

Norrby IF vs Varbergs BoIS prediction for the Superettan clash on Sep 14. Based on the latest odds, head-to-head record, and league standings, Varbergs BoIS enters this match as the favorite with a 45% win probability, while Norrby IF has a 25% chance and the draw sits at 30%.

Team Form

Norrby IF's recent form is poor. In their last five matches, they have recorded one win, one draw, and three losses (L, L, L, W, D). The only victory came in a Cup match against Dalstorps IF (0-2), while they suffered defeats to Ljungskile (2-1), Landskrona BoIS (1-3), and GIF Sundsvall (1-0). The draw was a 1-1 home result against Sandvikens IF.

Varbergs BoIS shows slightly better consistency with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five (L, D, W, L, W). They lost 0-2 at home to IFK Norrkoping and 2-1 away to Orebro SK, but beat Oddevold 3-1 and IF Boljan 0-5 in the Cup. A 1-1 draw at Varnamo rounds out the sequence. Overall, Varbergs has been more competitive against stronger opposition.

Head-to-Head Record

The historical head-to-head heavily favors Varbergs BoIS. In 18 previous meetings, Norrby IF has won just 3 times, with 4 draws and 11 wins for Varbergs. The last five encounters underline this dominance:

• Jul 11, 2026: Varbergs BoIS 4-2 Norrby IF (Friendly)
• Jun 10, 2026: Varbergs BoIS 2-0 Norrby IF (Superettan)
• Mar 25, 2023: Varbergs BoIS 3-2 Norrby IF (Friendly)
• Jun 16, 2022: Varbergs BoIS 1-1 Norrby IF (Friendly)
• Mar 13, 2021: Norrby IF 1-3 Varbergs BoIS (Friendly)

Varbergs has won four of the last five, scoring 13 goals to Norrby's 6. The only draw came in 2022. Norrby's last win over Varbergs dates back further, and they have failed to beat them in the last five attempts.

League Table Positions

Varbergs BoIS sits 4th in the Superettan table with 38 points from 23 matches (11 wins, 5 draws, 7 losses). They have scored 39 goals and conceded 30. Norrby IF is outside the top 12, indicating a significant gap in quality. Varbergs' away form is solid: 6th in the away standings with 16 points from 11 games (4 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses). Norrby's home record is not among the top eight, suggesting they struggle to impose themselves at home.

Win Probability: Norrby IF or Varbergs BoIS?

After normalizing the latest bookmaker odds (home 2.60, draw 2.30, away 2.15) and adjusting for form, H2H, and league position, the probabilities are:

• Norrby IF win: 25%
• Draw: 30%
• Varbergs BoIS win: 45%

Varbergs BoIS has a clear edge. Their superior league standing, dominant head-to-head record, and more reliable recent form make them the most likely winner. However, the draw probability remains significant, reflecting Norrby's occasional resilience at home.

Odds & Match Prediction

The latest odds from bookmakers show Varbergs BoIS as the favorite: away win at 2.15, draw at 2.30, and a Norrby IF home win at 2.60. These odds imply a tight contest but with Varbergs holding the advantage. Based on the stats, the most probable outcome is an away victory for Varbergs BoIS, though a draw cannot be ruled out given Norrby's need to respond after a poor run. The prediction is Varbergs BoIS to win, with a possible 1-0 or 2-1 scoreline.