Skopje - Vardar Skopje prediction 11 October 2026
Skopje
Vardar Skopje
FC Struga Trim LumSkopjeSkopjeKF Shkendija 79 TetovoSkopjeVardar SkopjeBregalnica StipSkopjeKF Shkendija HaracineSkopjeSkopjeKF Bashkimi 1947 KumanovoFK Arsimi 1973SkopjeSkopjeTikvesSileks KratovoSkopjeSkopjeFC Struga Trim LumKF Shkendija 79 TetovoSkopjeAkademija PandevSkopjeSkopjeDetonit PlackovicaSkopjeSasa Makedonska KamenicaSkopjeFK Kozuf GevgelijaKF Shkendija 79 TetovoVardar SkopjeBregalnica StipVardar SkopjeSkopjeVardar SkopjeVardar SkopjeKF Shkendija HaracineKF Bashkimi 1947 KumanovoVardar SkopjeVardar SkopjeFK Arsimi 1973FK Ovce PoleVardar SkopjeTikvesVardar SkopjeVardar SkopjeSileks KratovoFC Struga Trim LumVardar SkopjeVardar SkopjeKF Shkendija 79 TetovoRiga FCVardar SkopjeVardar SkopjeBregalnica StipVardar SkopjeRiga FCKuPSVardar SkopjeSkopjeVardar SkopjeSkopjeVardar SkopjeSkopjeVardar SkopjeVardar SkopjeSkopjeVardar SkopjeSkopjeVardar SkopjeSkopjeSkopjeVardar SkopjeSkopjeVardar SkopjeSkopjeVardar Skopje| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  KF Shkendija 79 Tetovo | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24:10 | +14 | 24 |
| 2 |  FC Struga Trim Lum | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 26:7 | +19 | 23 |
| 3 | Vardar Skopje | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:9 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 |  Tikves | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 21:8 | +13 | 17 |
| 5 |  Sileks Kratovo | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19:11 | +8 | 16 |
| 6 |  KF Shkendija Haracine | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 14 |
| 7 |  Bregalnica Stip | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 10 |
| 8 |  FK Arsimi 1973 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:21 | -13 | 10 |
| 9 |  KF Bashkimi 1947 Kumanovo | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9:29 | -20 | 7 |
| 10 | Skopje | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5:21 | -16 | 3 |
Skopje vs Vardar Skopje Prediction (Oct 11)
The Skopje vs Vardar Skopje prediction for October 11, 2026, points to an away victory in the North Macedonia. 1st League. Bookmakers and recent form give Vardar Skopje a clear advantage, with our win probability model showing a 58% chance for the visitors, while Skopje sits at just 12% and the draw at 30%.
Team Form
Skopje enter this match in poor shape. Their last five results read L, L, L, D, D, with the only points coming from two home draws against Tikves (1-1) and FK Arsimi 1973 (0-0 away). They have failed to win any of their last eight league matches and scored just 3 goals all season.
Vardar Skopje, on the other hand, are enjoying a solid run. Their last five outings show W, D, W, W, D, including a 2-0 home win over KF Shkendija Haracine and a 5-0 cup thrashing of FK Ovce Pole. The only blemish was a 3-3 draw at KF Bashkimi 1947 Kumanovo, but overall they have lost just once in that stretch.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record between these two sides is evenly balanced overall: 2 wins for Skopje, 4 draws, and 2 wins for Vardar Skopje. However, recent meetings tell a different story. In the last two encounters, both in 2023, Vardar Skopje won convincingly โ 3-0 in the league on May 21 and 3-1 in a friendly on February 8. Skopjeโs last victory over Vardar came back in 2018.
League Table Positions
The standings highlight the gulf between the teams. Skopje are rock bottom in 10th place with just 3 points from 8 matches (0 wins, 3 draws, 5 losses) and a goal difference of -9. Vardar Skopje sit 3rd with 14 points (4 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses) and a +6 goal difference. Even away from home, Vardar have collected 2 points from 3 games, while Skopjeโs home form is so poor they do not appear in the top eight of the home standings table.
Win Probability: Skopje or Vardar Skopje?
Based on odds, form, head-to-head trends, and league positions, we calculate the match outcome probabilities as follows: Skopje win โ 12%, draw โ 30%, Vardar Skopje win โ 58%. The odds imply a strong away favorite, and the massive gap in the table plus Skopjeโs ongoing winless streak make it very difficult to back the hosts. Vardar Skopje are the clear pick to take all three points.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakersโ 1X2 odds range from 6.50 to 7.50 for a Skopje home win, 2.30 to 4.10 for the draw, and 1.40 to 1.75 for a Vardar Skopje away victory. The market sees Vardar as strong favorites, and the stats back that up. Our prediction is an away win for Vardar Skopje, most likely with under 2.5 total goals given Skopjeโs scoring struggles and Vardarโs solid defensive record on the road.
Skopje vs Vardar Skopje โ FAQ
- Who will win Skopje vs Vardar Skopje?
- Vardar Skopje are the most likely winners with a 58% probability. Skopje have only a 12% chance, while the draw stands at 30%. The visitorsโ superior form and league position give them a decisive edge.
- What is the win probability for Vardar Skopje?
- Vardar Skopje have a 58% chance to win this match. This high percentage reflects their 3rd-place standing, recent run of W-D-W-W-D, and Skopjeโs position at the bottom of the table with zero wins all season.
- When is the Skopje vs Vardar Skopje match?
- The match kicks off on October 11, 2026, at 14:00 local time. It is a North Macedonia. 1st League fixture.
- What are the odds for Skopje vs Vardar Skopje?
- The best available odds are around 7.50 for a Skopje home win, 4.10 for the draw, and 1.40 for a Vardar Skopje away win. These odds show the bookmakers heavily favor the away side.
- What is the head-to-head record between Skopje and Vardar Skopje?
- In their last five meetings, Skopje have won 2, Vardar Skopje have won 2, and there has been 1 draw. However, Vardar won the most recent two clashes by scores of 3-0 and 3-1.