Gonio - Varketili Tbilisi prediction 17 September 2026

{ "h1": "Gonio vs Varketili Tbilisi Prediction (Sep 17)", "seotext": "

Our Gonio vs Varketili Tbilisi prediction for the 3 Liga match on Sep 17,2026,expects an away victory with a55% probability. Gonio has a20% chance, and a draw is rated at25%. The league leaders Varketili Tbilisi are unbeaten this season and look too strong for the home side.

Team Form

Gonio's last five matches: L,D,L,D,W. They lost2-0 to Guria Lanchkhuti away, drew2-2 at home to FC Iberia Tiblisi19992, lost4-0 at Lokomotivi Tbilisi, drew1-1 at home to Iveria Khashuri, and beat Iberia2010 Tbilisi2-0 away. Consistency is a concern.

Varketili Tbilisi are in excellent shape: D,W,D,W,D. A3-3 draw at Lokomotivi Tbilisi, a5-0 home win over Iveria Khashuri, a0-0 at Ibeeria2010 Tbilisi, a4-0 home win over Kolkheti Khobi, and a1-1 draw at Margveti Zestafoni. They remain unbeaten in their last five, with a strong away record.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met twice. On Dec07,2024, Varketili Tbilisi lost2-6 at home to Gonio – a big away win. On Apr24,2026, they drew1-1. Gonio leads the H2H with one win and one draw, but that dominant6-2 victory came over a year ago.

League Table Positions

Varketili Tbilisi top the3 Liga with49 points from21 games (14W7D0L), scoring54 and conceding just13. Gonio sit6th with35 points (10W5D6L) and a goal difference of+9. At home, Gonio have20 points from10 games (6W2D2L), while Varketili are2nd in the away table with22 points from10 away matches (6W4D0L).

Win Probability: Gonio or Varketili Tbilisi?

Based on odds, recent form, head-to-head, and league position, here are the outcome probabilities:

• Gonio win:20%
• Draw:25%
• Varketili Tbilisi win:55%

The odds imply a strong away favourite, and Varketili's unbeaten away record and top spot reinforce that. Gonio's only real positive is the H2H win, but their current form and lower standings give them only a20% chance. A draw is a credible25% given Varketili's four draws in their last five away games.

Odds & Match Prediction

Average 1X2 odds: Gonio4.95, Draw3.14, Varketili Tbilisi1.67. Bookmakers see Varketili as the clear favourite. Based on the stats and win probability, the prediction is an away win for Varketili Tbilisi, with the draw as the main danger.

", "faq_title": "Gonio vs Varketili Tbilisi — FAQ", "faq": [ { "question": "Who will win Gonio vs Varketili Tbilisi?", "answer": "Based on our analysis, Varketili Tbilisi has a55% chance of winning, Gonio a20% chance, and a draw is at25%. The away team is league leaders and unbeaten this season, making them strong favourites." }, { "question": "What is the win probability for Varketili Tbilisi?", "answer": "Varketili Tbilisi holds a55% win probability. They are1st in the3 Liga, undefeated overall (14 wins,7 draws) and unbeaten away (6 wins,4 draws), with the best defensive record." }, { "question": "When is the Gonio vs Varketili Tbilisi match?", "answer": "The match kicks off on Sep17,2026, at15:00 UTC, at Gonio's home ground in the Georgian3 Liga." }, { "question": "What are the odds for the match?", "answer": "Average 1X2 odds are Gonio4.95, Draw3.14, Varketili Tbilisi1.67. Bookmakers heavily favour the away side, reflected in the short price." }, { "question": "What is the head-to-head record between Gonio and Varketili Tbilisi?", "answer": "They have played twice: Varketili Tbilisi2-6 Gonio in Dec2024, and a1-1 draw in Apr2026. Gonio leads with one win and one draw." } ][ }