Mlada Boleslav B - Varnsdorf prediction 7 October 2026

The Mlada Boleslav B vs Varnsdorf prediction for October 7, 2026, in the Czech 3 Liga points to a tight contest. Based on recent form and head-to-head stats, Mlada Boleslav B enters as the slight favorite with a 40% win probability, while Varnsdorf holds a 30% chance and the draw is at 30%.

Team Form

Mlada Boleslav B's last five matches (most recent first): a 1-0 away win at Hradec Kralove B on Oct 4, a 0-0 home draw against Varnsdorf on Sep 26, a 2-1 home win over Slovan Liberec B on Sep 20, a 2-2 away draw at Jablonec B on Sep 13, and a 2-3 home loss to SK Zapy on Sep 5. That form line reads W-D-W-D-L, with 7 goals scored and 6 conceded. They have been inconsistent but picked up two wins in their last three league outings.

Varnsdorf's recent form is winless in five: a 1-1 home draw with Slovan Liberec B on Oct 4, a 0-0 away draw at Mlada Boleslav B on Sep 26, a 0-2 home loss to Jablonec B on Sep 20, a 1-5 home cup defeat to Slavia Praha on Sep 16, and a 4-4 away draw at SK Zapy on Sep 12. In league play (excluding the cup), they have three draws and two losses, scoring 5 goals and conceding 7. Their last league win came further back, highlighting a struggle for victories.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met four times, and Varnsdorf has never lost: 2 wins and 2 draws. The most recent clash was a 0-0 draw on Sep 26, 2026, in the 3 Liga. Before that, Varnsdorf won 2-0 at home on May 24, 2026. The other two meetings were a 1-1 draw on Oct 26, 2025, and a 0-5 friendly win for Varnsdorf on Jan 22, 2025. In competitive 3 Liga fixtures, Varnsdorf has 1 win and 2 draws, keeping Mlada Boleslav B without a victory in any official match.

Win Probability: Mlada Boleslav B or Varnsdorf?

We calculate the win probabilities by normalizing the average bookmaker odds (home 2.19, draw 3.10, away 3.20) to remove the margin, then adjusting for form and head-to-head records. The raw implied chances were 42% for a home win, 29% for a draw, and 29% for an away win. Given Varnsdorf's unbeaten H2H record and Mlada Boleslav B's slightly better recent form, we adjust to 40% for Mlada Boleslav B, 30% for a draw, and 30% for Varnsdorf. So, Mlada Boleslav B has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Varnsdorf has a 30% chance. The match is too close to call with high confidence, but the home side holds a marginal edge.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers present two sets of 1X2 odds. One bookmaker has home win at 2.42, draw at 2.30, away win at 3.50. Another offers 1.95 for a home win, 3.90 for a draw, and 2.90 for an away win. The variation highlights the unpredictability. Our prediction: based on the stats, a draw is a strong possibility, but Mlada Boleslav B could edge it. A 1-1 or 0-0 scoreline seems likely. For betting tips, the draw market offers value, and under 2.5 goals could be considered given both teams' recent low-scoring trends.