| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 30:8 | +22 | 29 | |
| 2 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 24:6 | +18 | 28 | |
| 3 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28:12 | +16 | 27 | |
| 4 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 17 | |
| 5 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 15 | |
| 6 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:21 | -8 | 15 | |
| 7 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 13:16 | -3 | 11 | |
| 8 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 10 | |
| 9 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:22 | -9 | 9 | |
| 10 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:21 | -10 | 8 | |
| 11 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:20 | -11 | 8 | |
| 12 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 5 |
Our Flamengo RJ U20 vs Vasco da Gama RJ U20 prediction for the Cup U20 match on Oct 8, 2026, at 20:30 points to an away win, with Vasco da Gama RJ U20 holding a 40% win probability. Flamengo RJ U20 enters as the bookmakers' nominal favorite, but head-to-head history and recent form tilt the balance toward the visitors.
Flamengo RJ U20 have won four of their last five matches, with a 3-0 victory over Sampaio Correa RJ U20 on Oct 2, a 6-2 thrashing of Volta Redonda RJ U20, and a 6-0 cup win against Forte FC ES U20. Their only setback was a 1-3 home loss to Fluminense RJ U20 on Sep 26. The team has scored 17 goals in these five games, showing attacking firepower but some defensive vulnerability.
Vasco da Gama RJ U20 are unbeaten in their last five outings, with four wins and one draw. They drew 1-1 away at Fluminense RJ U20 on Oct 3, then beat Madureira RJ U20 1-0, Botafogo RJ U20 3-0, Volta Redonda RJ U20 2-1, and crushed Rio Branco AC ES U20 11-0 in the cup. Their form is slightly more consistent, conceding only two goals in the last five matches.
The head-to-head record heavily favors Vasco da Gama RJ U20. In their last five meetings, Vasco have won all five, with Flamengo failing to register a single victory or draw. The most recent clash on Feb 23, 2026, ended 1-4 in Vasco's favor. Earlier results include a 1-4 loss for Flamengo in Sep 2025 and a 0-5 defeat in Mar 2025. Even when Vasco played at home, they won 1-0 and 3-0. This dominance is a key factor in our prediction.
No current league table data is available for the Cup U20 competition, so we cannot factor in standings. The analysis relies on form, H2H, and odds.
Based on the available odds, team form, and head-to-head record, we calculate the following win probabilities: Flamengo RJ U20 has a 35% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Vasco da Gama RJ U20 has a 40% chance. The bookmakers' opening odds (home 2.00, draw 3.60, away 3.00) implied a 45% home win probability after removing the margin, but the overwhelming H2H trend (5 away wins in 5 matches) and Vasco's slightly better recent form justify a significant adjustment in favor of the away side. Therefore, Vasco da Gama RJ U20 is the more likely winner.
Bookmakers offer varying odds for this Cup U20 fixture. One bookmaker lists Flamengo RJ U20 at 2.00, the draw at 3.60, and Vasco da Gama RJ U20 at 3.00. Another has the home win at 2.00, draw at 2.25, and away win at 3.50. A third shows 1.95, 3.50, and 3.00 respectively. These odds reflect a market that initially sees Flamengo as the favorite, but the sharp discrepancy with H2H results suggests value on the away side. Our prediction: Vasco da Gama RJ U20 to win, based on their perfect recent record against Flamengo and strong current form. A draw cannot be ruled out, but the stats point to an away victory.