Husqvarna Women - Vaxjo FF Women prediction 22 September 2026

Looking for a Husqvarna Women vs Vaxjo FF Women prediction? The Swedish Cup Women match on Sep 22, 2026, at 18:00 sees Vaxjo FF Women as the clear favorites with a 54% win probability. Despite some recent struggles, the visitors' higher division quality gives them the edge over Husqvarna Women, who have home advantage and an 18% chance of causing an upset.

Team Form

Husqvarna Women's recent results in the Elitettan Women show a pattern of alternating wins and losses. Their last five matches:

• Sep 18: Linkopings Women 2-1 Husqvarna Women (L)
• Sep 12: Husqvarna Women 2-1 KIF Orebro DFF Women (W)
• Sep 5: IFK Goteborg Women 2-1 Husqvarna Women (L)
• Aug 29: Husqvarna Women 1-0 Trelleborgs Women (W)
• Aug 22: Orebro SK Women 0-2 Husqvarna Women (W)

At home, they have been solid, winning two of their last three, including a 2-1 victory over KIF Orebro and a 1-0 win against Trelleborgs. The defeat to Linkopings was away, so their home form offers some encouragement.

Vaxjo FF Women, from the Damallsvenskan, have struggled for consistency. Their last five outings:

• Sep 19: Vittsjo GIK Women 2-2 Vaxjo FF Women (D)
• Sep 13: Vaxjo FF Women 0-3 Hammarby Women (L)
• Sep 5: Pitea IF Women 2-0 Vaxjo FF Women (L)
• Aug 29: Vaxjo FF Women 0-4 Malmo FF Women (L)
• Aug 22: Eskilstuna United Women 0-1 Vaxjo FF Women (W)

Their only win came away at Eskilstuna United, and they managed a draw at Vittsjo. However, heavy defeats to Hammarby and Malmo FF at home highlight defensive vulnerabilities. On the road, they have been slightly more resilient, with that win and draw in their last three away games.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met only once before, in the Cup Women on Sep 27, 2023. Vaxjo FF Women won that encounter 2-1 away from home. That result gives the visitors a psychological edge heading into this fixture.

League Table Positions

No current league table positions are available, but the division gap is significant. Vaxjo FF Women play in the Damallsvenskan, Sweden's top women's football league, while Husqvarna Women compete in the Elitettan, the second tier. This difference in competition level heavily influences the match odds and win probability.

Win Probability: Husqvarna Women or Vaxjo FF Women?

Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and the league gap, we calculate the following win probabilities:

• Husqvarna Women win: 18%
• Draw: 28%
• Vaxjo FF Women win: 54%

The raw implied probabilities from the average odds (home 6.08, draw 3.31, away 1.59) gave Vaxjo FF Women a 62.9% chance, but after removing the bookmaker margin and adjusting for Husqvarna's better recent form and home advantage, we arrive at a more balanced 54% for the away side. The draw probability is notably high at 28%, reflecting the visitors' inconsistent performances. The only previous meeting ended in a 2-1 away win for Vaxjo FF Women, further supporting their favorite status. Husqvarna Women have a fighting chance, especially if they can exploit the visitors' defensive frailties, but a draw is also a realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced this match with Vaxjo FF Women as clear favorites. The best available odds are around 6.50 for a home win, 2.62 for the draw, and 1.62 for an away victory. These odds reflect the gulf in league status. Our prediction: Vaxjo FF Women to win, but the match may be closer than the odds suggest given the form of both teams. A low-scoring away win or a draw are the most likely scenarios.